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ECOWATCH






          Merchandise trade: June 2019 ($ million)
                                            June 2019           Growth m-o-m (%)   Growth y-o-y (%)
                                                                                   June 2019     Apr-Jun 2019-20
          Exports                           25.01               -16.6              -9.71         -1.69
          Imports                           40.29               -11.2              -9.06         -0.29
          Trade deficit                     15.28               -0.5               -8.0          2.3
          Source: Ministry of Commerce, Govt of India

                                          India's merchandise trade – June 2019

             40
                                                                         31.58  29.26            Jun - 18
             30            27.7  25.01                                                           Jun - 19


             20
                                                  12.73  11.03
           $ billion  10



              0
                           Exports               Oil Imports          Non-Oil Imports          Trade Blance
             -10

                                                                                                 -16.60
             -20                                                                                       -15.28

          Source: Ministry of Commerce, Govt of India; EEPC Research
          Balance of payments


          Key features of India’s BoP during January-March of 2018-19
          • India’s current account deficit (CAD) at   trade deficit at $35.2 billion as compared   mercial borrowings to India increased to
          $4.6 billion (0.7 percent of GDP) in Q4 of   with $41.6 billion a year ago.   $7.2 billion in Q4 of 2018-19 from $1 bil-
          2018-19 narrowed from $13 billion (1.8   • In the financial account, net foreign di-  lion a year ago.
          percent of GDP) in Q4 of 2017-18 and   rect investment at $6.4 billion in Q4 of   • In Q4 of 2018-19, there was an accretion
          $17.7 billion (2.7 percent of GDP) in the
          preceding quarter.                2018-19 remained at the same level as in   of $14.2 billion to the foreign exchange
          • The contraction of the CAD on a y-o-y   Q4 of 2017-18.             reserves (on BoP basis) as compared with
          basis was primarily on account of a lower   • Net inflow on account of external com-  $13.2 billion in Q4 of 2017-18.
          BoP during 2018-19



          • The CAD increased to 2.1 percent of GDP in 2018-19 from 1.8 percent in 2017-18 on the back of widening of the trade deficit.
          • Trade deficit widened to $180.3 billion in 2018-19 from $160 billion in 2017-18.
          • Net FDI inflows at $30.7 billion in 2018-19 were marginally higher than $30.3 billion in 2017-18.
          • In 2018-19, there was a depletion of $3.3 billion of the foreign exchange reserves (on a BoP basis).




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