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SUCCESS SECRET                                                                                 SUCCESS SECRET

 privatization. Not without reason, at a working breakfast organized by Sberbank at the Sochi-2015      The first is the share of state financing. On average, for 55 projects
 international investment forum, most of its participants, among them were a hundred highly   that received loans from the Industrial Development Fund in 2015,
 respected economists, businesspersons and politicians, chose competition as the main recipe   it is 25.2%.  The  rest is the  applicants ’own funds,  loans,  and
 for diversifying the Russian economy.  private  investments.  Moreover,  although  the  fund  can  in some
    This myth was born from the idea that each SPIC, guaranteeing a government order to a   cases finance up to 70% of the project’s budget, it rarely enjoys
 contract participant, makes it impossible for manufacturers of similar products to fight for it. In   such a right, supporting primarily those projects where the risk
 fact, nowhere in the regulatory documents, starting with the law on industrial policy, does it say   of failure is distributed more evenly, control is carried out from
 that the SPIK participant will necessarily monopolize the entire volume of the state order. And in   several sides at once and no squandering takes place.
 those cases when the demand generated by the state is large enough, the SPIK participant will     The  second  factor  is the  chosen  methods  of  decision-making
 simply not be able to cover it, which will leave enough room for other players to compete. But   on  the  selection  of  import  substitution projects  and  disclosure
 the state will gain confidence that imported products will be at least partially replaced by SPIK   of  information  about  the  companies  that  received loans.  The
 participant’s products, even if other Russian competitors suddenly refuse to participate in the   Industrial Development Fund is conducting an initial screening of
 tender or to execute an already concluded state contract. Much depends on the quality of project   applications that do not fit its mandate. Then, the fund’s apparatus
 expertise, it is possible to minimize the risk of monopolization when deciding on each SPIC and   and specialized experts carry out a comprehensive examination, including scientific, technical,
 to prevent a decrease in competition. Moreover, it can be argued that competition during import   legal and financial-economic. Selected projects are submitted to a meeting of the expert council.
 substitution will  only  increase, because thanks to  it new  production  will  be created, part of   These are 15 people, almost none of them is an official, these are representatives of leading
 the intellectual resources will remain in Russia, new players will appear on the market without   business associations, major banks with extensive experience in investment and analytical work.
 administrative crowding out or restriction of old ones, and the variety of products will increase.  A positive decision of the expert council is a necessary and sufficient condition for obtaining a
    loan after fulfilling all covenants and requirements agreed with the applicant.
 Myth 5: import substitution is a waste of taxpayer funds     The third factor is the type of financing. The maximum liability of the recipient arises
    The bias of this statement is obvious, but it is difficult to refute it, especially if we consider   when the funds are issued to him on a repayable basis, with payment of at least the minimum
 only state financing of import substitution. Private investors monitor their spending more closely,   interest, and for debt-covering collateral, in respect of which a qualitative market assessment
 providing  on  average  greater  efficiency  of  private  ownership  compared  to  state  ownership.   has been made and the loss of which would be very painful for the borrower.
 However, even in the private sector, the squandering of resources by managers is an ordinary                 The described mechanism, implemented in the activities of the Fund for the Development
 phenomenon, the subject of constant and painstaking control work.  of Industrial Development, could be used by other state development institutions, as well as
    Adherents of the fifth myth are uninteresting to the problems of private investors and the   by some of the main managers of budget funds for many parts of state programs and budget
 solutions they found, as well as the experience of control work in other countries, any initiative   items of expenditure.
 that concerns budget funds and potentially causing corruption, is rejected immediately by them
 from  the  position  of  ‘‘presumption  of  guilt‘‘.  Meanwhile,  the  efficiency  of  spending  financial   Myth  6: import  substitution  is  the imposition  of  poor  quality  goods  on  Russian
 resources in the implementation of import substitution projects depends on several factors.  consumers
           In Soviet times, domestic products, especially consumer goods, were indeed almost always
    much worse in quality than imported ones. Since then, much has changed, but stereotypes that
    have become conscious, periodically reinforced by separate negative examples from the current
    life, lead to the reproduction of such myths. On average, Russian products are now produced at
    a very good quality level, especially in highly competitive markets. The consumer simply would
    not buy it if the properties of the product did not live up to his expectations. Therefore, many
    Russian factories survived and developed substantially even at a time when the country had no
 ‘‘Import  substitution,  which  has   financial opportunity to provide them with any kind of state support.
 spontaneously  developed  over  the        Unfortunately, this does not apply to all sectors and activities, and above all because of
 past  20  years  in  certain  sectors,  at  a   the economies of scale that negate the individual competitive advantages of Russian production.
 certain  moment,  has  become  state   The introduction of  additional incentives  for  import substitution (for  example,  a  rate of  5%
 policy.  Accordingly,  with  this  topic   per annum on loans of the Industrial Development Fund) allows equalizing the conditions of
 connected  many  dangerous   competition and does not affect the quality of manufactured goods.
 misconceptions.  Not  to      The  second  element  of  this  myth  is  associated  with the  word  ‘‘imposition.‘‘This  is  a
 respond to them means to   typical use  of  the   ‘‘presumption  of  guilt‘‘.
 give them the opportunity   The state is accused in advance of what it did
 to take root in the public   not  do,  or  simply  could  not  have  done.  For
 consciousness.‘‘  example, there has not yet been a case when,
 Anton Danilov-Danilyan,  when  considering a  project  in the  Industrial
 Gleb Nikitin.  Development  Fund,  the  applicant proceeded
    from  the  fact  that  the  consumers  of  his
 Gleb Nikitin, First Deputy Minister   products were  ‘‘bent‘‘, ‘‘forced to buy‘‘, etc.
 of Industry and Trade RF, Ph.D.
 Anton Danilov-Danilyan, Chairman Development   (‘‘Performance Management organizations   Such a project would simply not be allowed to
 Council Expert Council industry  co-chair  of   in the interests of the owner‘‘, Moscow,   be considered by an expert council. The active
 ‘‘Business  Russia‘‘,  Ph.D.  (‘‘Economic  and   2007).  development of import substitution in Russia
 mathematical analysis of inflationary trends in
 mechanical engineering‘‘, Moscow, 1991).  would have led to the emergence of not tens
    and hundreds, but many thousands of projects
    and to ensure that millions of consignments of


 36  Stanochniy park                                                                            Stanochniy park       37
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