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11,624
        The Point



        Equity Funds’                                                       NIFty         10,114                            Buffett Indicator                                   rAilwAy FrEight


        AssEts PlungE                                                      8,491     9,174           8,598                  turns Attractive                                    trAFFiC sliPs For

        AFtEr six yEArs                                                         7,738                                       î India’s market         MArkEt CAp to              thE First tiME in
                                                                                                                            cap to GDP ratio
                                                                                                                                                        gdp rAtIo
                                                                           AssEts UNdEr     8.9                             has fallen from    120                              two dECAdEs
        î The Nifty plunged close to 26 per                                MANAgEMENt                                       79 per cent as on
        cent in FY20, the sharpest fall since the                            (in `lakh cr)  7.5                             end-FY19 to 54     100
        2008/09 financial crisis                                                                 6.6                        per cent (FY20)                                     î Railway freight traffic slipped 1.1 per
        î This reflected in assets under equity                                   5.4                                       î This is even     80                               cent in FY20 compared to growth of 5.3
                                                                                                                                                                                per cent in FY19
        mutual funds, which fell from `8.9 lakh                                                                             lower than
        crore at the end of FY19 to `6.6 lakh crore                          3.9                                            the level seen                                      î In FY20, freight traffic stood at 1,210.5
        at the end of FY20                                              3.5                                                 during the global   60                              million tonnes, down by 12.7 million tonnes
        î This is the lowest since                                                                                          financial crisis                                    compared to the previous financial year
                                                                                                                            and much below
        October-end 2017                                                                                                    the long-term      40  FY04          FY20*          î The fall in was majorly because of drop in
        î Since most of this fall came towards                                                                              average of 75                   *GDP number is      freight traffic of coal, which is the largest
                                                                                                                                                                                commodity carried by Indian Railways
        the end of the financial year, total mutual                                                                         per cent      Source: Care Ratings   an estimation
        fund assets still managed to rise 10.7 per                      FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20                                                                           î Traffic of commodities such as cement,
        cent to  `27.1 lakh crore in FY20                                              Source : Motilal Oswal                                                                   foodgrains, fertilisers and other goods also
                                                                                                                                                                                declined
                                                                                                                             no. of Companies                                   6        FrEIgHt trAFFIC groWtH (%)
       Consumer,                                                                                                             Above $1 billion                                   5


       Healthcare                                                                                                            Market-cap                                         4

       Cushion                                -6.5  -8.8  -11                                                                shrinks 30%                                        3
                                                                                                                                                                                2
       Impact for                           Healthcare  Consumer  Oil & Gas  Technology  -11.8  Telecom  -13.2               î After hitting a peak of 329 in CY17, the          1

       Equity MFs                                                         Utilities  -20.5  Retail  -21.3  Cement  -24.6  Auto  -26.2  -26.3  number of billion-dollar companies has   0
                                                                                                                             come down sharply
                                                                                                                                                                                -1
        î Healthcare, consumer and oil                                                            Chemicals                  î The number was 228 in April 2020                 -2
                                                                                                                             î It is expected to fall even more in 2020
        & gas holdings of equity mutual                                                                                      due to economic slowdown                           -3                               *projected
        funds fell the least MoM in March
        î Holdings of real estate,                                                                                                      No oF CoMpANIEs WItH                         FY11  FY12  FY13  FY14  FY15  FY16  FY17  FY18  FY19  FY20  FY21*
        infrastructure, metal and financial                                                                                              $1 BIllIoN-plUs VAlUE                               Source: Railway Ministry
        companies saw the steepest                                                                                            350
        decline in value
        î In March, the top holdings were                                                                                     300
        bank (18.1%) followed by consumer                                                                                     250
        (9.8%), technology (8.9%) and
        NBFC (8.5%) stocks                                                                                                    200
                                                                                                                              150
                                             Capital Goods  -28.3  Textiles  -30.6  NBFC  -30.8  Media  -30.8  Banks Private  -31.3  Banks Public  -34.3  Metals  -34.6  Infrastructure  -35.8  Real Estate  -36.7  50  CY05  CY06  CY07  CY08  CY09  CY10  CY11  CY12  CY13  CY14  CY15  CY16  CY17  CY18  CY19  20-Apr
                                                                                                                              100






                                           Fall in value of sector holdings in                                                              Source : Motilal Oswal
                                           March (%); Source: Motilal Oswal

        10                                   Business Today  31 May 2020                                                                                         31 May 2020  Business Today                            11
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