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MANIPULATION OF THE INDEPENDENT VARIABLE  145

                             variable Y. In such a case, it will not be possible to determine the extent to which
                             Y occurred only because of X, since we do not know how much of the total vari-
                             ation of Y was caused by the presence of the other factor A. For instance, a
                             Human Resource Development manager might arrange for special training to a
                             set of newly recruited secretaries in creating web pages, to prove to the VP (his
                             boss), that such training would cause them to function more effectively. How-
                             ever, some of the new secretaries might function more effectively than others,
                             mainly or partly because they have had previous intermittent experience with the
                             web. In this case, the manager cannot prove that the special training alone
                             caused greater effectiveness, since the previous intermittent experience of some
                             secretaries with the web is a contaminating factor. If the true effect of the train-
                             ing on learning is to be assessed, then the learners’ previous experience has to
                             be controlled. This might be done by not including in the experiment those who
                             already have had some experience with the web. This is what we mean when
                             we say we have to control the contaminating factors, and we will later see how
                             this is done.


            MANIPULATION OF THE INDEPENDENT VARIABLE

                             In order to examine the causal effects of an independent variable on a dependent
                             variable, certain manipulations need to be tried. Manipulation simply means that
                             we create different levels of the independent variable to assess the impact on the
                             dependent variable. For example, we may want to test the theory that depth of
                             knowledge of various manufacturing technologies is  caused by rotating the
                             employees on all the jobs on the production line and in the design department,
                             over a 4-week period. Then we can manipulate the independent variable, “rota-
                             tion of employees,” by rotating one group of production workers and exposing
                             them to all the systems during the 4-week period, rotating another group of work-
                             ers only partially during the 4 weeks (i.e., exposing them to only half of the man-
                             ufacturing technologies), and leaving the third group to continue to do what they
                             are currently doing, without any special rotation. By measuring the depth of
                             knowledge of these groups both before and after the manipulation (also known
                             as the “treatment”), it would be possible to assess the extent to which the treat-
                             ment caused the effect, after controlling the contaminating factors. If deep knowl-
                             edge is indeed caused by rotation and exposure, the results would show that the
                             third group had the lowest increase in depth of knowledge, the second group had
                             some significant increase, and the first group had the greatest gains!
                               Let us look at another example on how causal relationships are established by
                             manipulating the independent variable. Let us say we want to test the effects of
                             lighting on worker production levels among sewing machine operators. To estab-
                             lish cause-and-effect relationship, we must first measure the production levels of
                             all the operators over a 15-day period with the usual amount of light they work
                             with—say 60-watt lamps. We might then want to split the group of 60 operators
                             into three groups of 20 members each, and while allowing one subgroup to con-
                             tinue to work under the same conditions as before (60-watt electric lightbulbs)
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