Page 70 - Ultimate Guide to Currency Trading
P. 70

fifteen minutes. At the end of the fifteen minutes the close price will be indicated by a notch on the
                 line to the right of the longer up and down line. On a full-size laptop computer with a 15- or 17-inch
                 screen, the lines on a fifteen-minute chart may be 1/2 to I centimeter long to indicate the movement
                 of  a  pair,  such  as  the  EUR/CHF,  within  that  time  frame.  Each  fifteen-minute  range  line  is  close  to
                 another, and the total effect is a semismooth line across your computer screen showing your trading
                 plat-form and its EUR/CHF chart.


                             It sometimes helps to look at a range of time frames on your bar charts. You can look
                             at a one-day chart to get an overview of what , direction the currency is moving, and
                     ALERT   switch to ever-shorter time frames. At the very end you can use a thirty-second chart

                             to time your FX trade precisely.


                 Using Moving Averages to Time Your Trades

                 After you have signaled your trading platform's software to draw a bar chart for the currency pair
                 EUR/CHF, the next technical indicator that you can use is the 50-day moving average and the 200-day
                 moving average. These moving averages use statistical formulas of the openings, closings, or averages
                 of the EUR/CHF pair for the past 200 or 50 days on a rolling basis. This means that 200-day moving
                 average will drop day 201 and add day 1 the next day you look at the chart. Also, the chart is rolling as
                 to time; i.e., if you are on a one-hour chart, the 200 days x twenty-four hours will be looked at, and
                 then in one hour the 199 days plus twenty-three hours will be factored in plus the most recent hour of
                 the trading week. The same is true for the 50-day moving average.

                        Once  you  have  the  fifteen-minute  (or  other  time  frame)  bar  chart  drawn  on  your  trading
                 platform, you can easily use one of your drop-down boxes in the "Technical Indicators" section of the
                 commands  in  your  software.  You  will  most  likely  see  a  series  of  commands  in  the  "Add  Technical
                 Indicators"  drop-down  box:  Select  the  one  that  is  marked  "Moving  Average."  You  can  draw  any
                 number of days for this indicator. First make the selection of a 200-day in a contrasting, colored thick
                 line, and then in a different colored thick line make the selection for a 50-day moving average.

                        This will draw two lines across the chart. In this example, the EUR/CHF is shown on a one-hour
                 chart. The jagged up and down line with the valley are the effect of the one-hour bars showing up in
                 the  chart  all  compressed  together.  The  50-day  and  200-day  moving  averages  are  shown  by  the
                 graceful lines that somewhat follow the curve of the one-hour bar chart. Since the 50-day moving
                 average is more sensitive to changes in price, it more closely follows the bar chart: It is shown in the
                 example with the lighter line. The 200-day moving average is less sensitive and moves in an even more
                 slowly sloping pattern. The 200-day moving average is shown by the darker line.

                        After you have used your  trading platform  to draw a one-hour bar chart, a 50-day moving
                 average, and  a 200-day moving average, you can then use  the moving averages as indicators. The
                 easiest way to use the moving aver-ages is to draw the 50- and the 200-day upon each other and look
                 where they cross. As you can see, in this example, they cross in three places. At each point where the
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