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BUSINESSMonday 5 October 2015

Root of investor anxiety: Uncertainty about China and Fed

PAUL WISEMAN                  10 percent since July 20,      In this July 15, 2015 file photo, a woman walks past a banner reading “Prosperity” in English and
KEN SWEET                     even though both rose          Chinese on a street in central Beijing. 
AP Business Writers           sharply on Wednesday.
Fears about China’s slow-     The July-to-September                                                                                                                              Associated Press
down and a coming  U.S.       quarter was the S&P’s worst
interest rate hike have sent  since 2011.                    fears. The concern is that                             subject of the day. What is     percent in August from a
global stock markets into a   “Concerns about China’s                                                               happening there, and how        year earlier. Investors are
fidgety freefall.             economy are heightening        Chinese         policymakers                           consequential is it for the     nervously awaiting a report
But why? China’s economy      the level of angst among                                                              rest of us? There are a lot of  Thursday on Chinese man-
has been slowing for years.   global investors who are al-   have panicked and that                                 unknowns.”                      ufacturers.
And the Federal Reserve       ready having to cope with                                                             Any economic news out of        Fed Chair Janet Yellen not-
has long been expected        multiple sources of uncer-     the economy might be in                                China is being scrutinized      ed, in part, concerns about
to raise short-term interest  tainty,” says Eswar Prasad,                                                           by anxious investors. Glob-     China’s economy in ex-
rates from near zero, where   professor of global trade      worse shape than previ-                                al stocks tumbled Monday        plaining the central bank’s
it’s kept them since 2008.    policy at Cornell University.                                                         after China reported that       Sept. 17 decision to delay
So what’s sowing panic        As it undergoes a painful      ously thought.                                         profits at industrial com-      its long-awaited first rate
now?                          shift away from an overreli-                                                          panies had plunged 8.8          hike in nine years.q
In a word: Uncertainty.       ance on exports and over-      “If China’s scared, sud-
Investors have grown used     investment in homes and
to near-zero rates and a      factories, China’s econ-       denly the rest of the world
booming Chinese econo-        omy has decelerated for
my — the world’s second-      four straight years. And it’s  is scared as well,” says Eric
largest after the United      almost surely slowing again
States. No one knows how      in 2015.                       Lascelles, chief economist
the global economy will       The International Monetary
manage without them.          Fund forecasts that China’s    for RBC Global Asset Man-
Many investors aren’t wait-   economy will expand 6.8
ing to find out. They’ve      percent this year. It would    agement. “China is the
been dumping stocks with      be its weakest growth since
a vengeance. When inves-      1990. Many economists,
tors feel unsure about the    skeptical of China’s offi-
future, many tend to panic.   cial numbers, suggest that
The iShares MSCI Emerging     growth might even dip be-
Markets index has lost near-  low 6 percent.
ly 16 percent of its value    Beijing’s clumsy attempts
since mid-July. In the Unit-  to halt a drop in its own
ed States, the Dow Jones      stock market and its con-
industrial average and the    fusing Aug. 11 decision
Standard & Poor’s 500 in-     to devalue its currency,
dex have both sunk about      the yuan, have escalated

Study shows employers shifting more medical costs to workers 

TOM MURPHY                    This 2009 photo provided by the Kaiser Family Foundation shows                        insurance,” obscured in         forced many  businesses  to
AP Business Writer            CEO Drew Altman.                                                                      recent years by the health      scale back their cover-
Employers are leaving a                                                                                             care overhaul’s cover-          age. One of the quickest
bigger chunk of the bill for                                                                      Associated Press  age expansion for people        ways they have to control
care to workers who use                                                                                             who don’t have coverage         the growth in premiums, or
their health insurance, and   years.                         10 percent in 2006. Kaiser’s                           through work.                   cost of coverage, without
benefits experts see few      “That has an impact on         study didn’t measure fam-                              “It’s funny, we used to think   significantly changing the
signs of this trend slowing.  family budgets,” Kaiser        ily coverage deductibles,                              of $1,000 as a very high de-    insurance is to raise an em-
Most companies now of-        CEO Drew Altman said.          which can be more com-                                 ductible, and now it’s al-      ployee’s deductible.
fer health coverage that      The study also found that      plex, but researchers say                              most commonplace,” he           Altman said the increase in
requires employees to pay     46 percent of workers with     they those have grown as                               said.                           deductibles has helped re-
an annual deductible be-      single coverage have a         well.                                                                                  strain premium growth for
fore insurance kicks in, and  deductible of $1,000 or        Altman calls this cost shift a                           “Consumers have much          the past several years. In
the size of that deductible   more. That’s up from only      “quiet revolution in health                            more skin in the game, and      2015, premiums rose an av-
has soared in the past de-                                                                                          that may be fine if you’re      erage of 4 percent for sin-
cade, according to a sur-                                                                                           healthier and don’t use         gle and family coverage.
vey released Tuesday by                                                                                             a lot of health care. That      The employer generally
the Kaiser Family Founda-                                                                                           could be a real problem if      pays most of the premium
tion and Health Research                                                                                            you’re chronically ill.”        and has the remaining
& Educational Trust.                                                                                                Employer-sponsored health       share taken out of the em-
The average general de-                                                                                             insurance is the most com-      ployee’s pay check before
ductible for workers with                                                                                           mon form of coverage            taxes.
single coverage totaled                                                                                             in the United States, with      Kaiser’s research found
$1,077 this year, compared                                                                                          about 147 million people        that the size of a health
to only $303 in 2006.                                                                                               enrolled.                       plan’s deductible can de-
                                                                                                                    Companies of all sizes of-      pend on the employer.
   That deductible has                                                                                              fer coverage as a way to        Small firms had an average
climbed nearly seven times                                                                                          keep workers and make           of $1,836, while big  busi-
faster than wages, on av-                                                                                           sure they stay healthy. But     nesses had $1,105.q
erage, over the past five                                                                                           years of rising costs have
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