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BUSINESSThursday 17 September

Wall Street advances ahead of Fed decision                                                                                         FedEx Q1 results are mixed,

KEN SWEET                       year bull market in stocks      percent in London after the                                        lowering fiscal 2016 outlook 
AP Business Writer              by making bonds, CDs            company said it received
NEW YORK (AP) — Stocks          and other interest-bearing      a takeover offer from An-                                          DAVID KOENIG
posted solid gains Wednes-      investments less attrac-        heuser-Busch InBev of Bel-                                         AP Business Writer
day ahead of a closely          tive, driving investors to put  gium. A combination of the                                         DALLAS (AP) — FedEx reported disappointing results
watched decision by the         money into the stock mar-       two would create a mas-                                            for its latest quarter, and the delivery giant cut its full-
Federal Reserve on wheth-       ket.                            sive conglomerate worth                                            year profit forecast on weaker demand for freight
er or not to raise interest     “If they raise tomorrow, it’s   $275 billion. Any potential                                        services and higher costs in its ground division.
rates.                          going to be nasty for the       deal would be heavily scru-                                        The company also said it plans to hire more than
Beer companies gained           stock market. Much of the       tinized by regulators.                                             55,000 seasonal workers for the holidays, an increase
on word of a possible deal      rally back has had much         U.S.-traded shares of AB                                           of at least 5,000 over last year’s plan.
between two giant brew-         to do with investors believ-    InBev rose $7.39, or 7 per-                                        Its shares fell almost 4 percent in afternoon trading.
ers, and energy stocks          ing the Fed isn’t going to      cent, to $115.43. Other                                            FedEx Corp. said that it expects to earn between
rose sharply following a big    move,” said Tom di Galo-        beer makers also rose. Mol-                                        $10.40 and $10.90 for the fiscal year that ends next
jump in the price of oil.       ma, head of fixed income        son Coors jumped $10.34,                                           May, down 20 cents from an earlier prediction. Ana-
The Dow Jones industrial        rates trading at ED&F Man       or 14 percent, to $82.98.                                          lysts expected $10.84, according to a survey by Fact-
average rose 140.10 points,     Capital.                        Energy stocks also rose af-                                        Set.
or 0.8 percent, to 16,739.95.   Investors’ opinions are         ter a steeper-than-expect-                                         The reduced outlook comes despite cost-cutting
The Standard & Poor’s 500       mixed on the chance of a        ed drop in crude invento-                                          moves, growth in online commerce, and upcom-
index rose 17.22 points, or     rate increase. Two months       ries sent oil prices sharply                                       ing price hikes. Rates for express, ground and freight
0.9 percent, to 1,995.31        ago, it seemed almost cer-      higher.                                                            shipments will rise by average 4.9 percent on Jan. 4,
and the Nasdaq compos-          tain that the Fed was going     U.S. benchmark crude                                               and surcharges for oversized packages will go up in
ite added 28.72 points, or      to raise rates in Septem-       jumped $2.56, or 5.7 per-                                          November, before the peak holiday season.
0.6 percent, to 4,889.24.       ber. Now, after the turmoil     cent, to $47.15 a barrel on                                        Chairman and CEO Fred Smith said the Memphis,
Investors have been specu-      in financial markets in Au-     the New York Mercantile                                            Tennessee-based company was “performing solidly
lating about when the Fed-      gust over concerns about        Exchange. Brent crude, a                                           given weaker-than-expected economic conditions,
                                                                                                                                   especially in manufacturing and global trade.”
A visitor to the financial district walks past the New York Stock Exchange, Wednesday, Sept. 16,                                   Smith blamed the earnings miss and the lower profit
2015. Stocks posted solid gains Wednesday ahead of a closely watched decision by the Federal                                       forecast on FedEx raising its set-aside for self-insur-
Reserve on whether or not to raise interest rates.                                                                                 ance.
                                                                                                                                   “The whole thing about the quarter is one issue; it’s a
                                                                                                         (AP Photo/Mary Altaffer)  self-insurance reserve,” he said on a conference call
                                                                                                                                   with analysts. “All the rest of the stuff is just noise and
eral Reserve will raise inter-  China’s economy, investors      benchmark for many inter-                                          various issues inside the operating company.”
est rates for months. The       are far less certain.           national types of oil import-                                      Analysts pointed out that the self-insurance reserve
Fed started its two-day pol-    “I just don’t think the econ-   ed into the U.S., gained $2,                                       has hurt results two straight quarters. FedEx did not
icy meeting Wednesday           omy is strong enough and        or 4.2 percent, to $49.75 a                                        provide a figure for the higher insurance reserve, but
and will announce its de-       inflation remains too low to    barrel in London.                                                  a spokesman said it was included in a line for “other”
cision Thursday afternoon,      justify a rate increase,” di    The Energy Information                                             costs that totaled $453 million in the quarter, an in-
which will be followed by       Galoma said.                    Administration said U.S. oil                                       crease of $201 million from a year earlier.
a press conference by Fed       Stocks have been rising         supplies fell last week by a                                       Smith also complained that FedEx didn’t set earnings
Chair Janet Yellen.             steadily ahead of the Fed’s     steeper-than-expected 2.2                                          targets; analysts did. The company could be paying
Interest rates have been        meeting. Investors have         million barrels. Analysts sur-                                     the price for being a longtime Wall Street favorite.
near zero since 2008, when      said that stocks recovered      veyed by Platts expected                                           “When you become beloved by the Street, the
the Fed cut rates sharply in    partly because the chanc-       a decline of 200,000 bar-                                          downside is it’s harder and harder to meet those el-
response to the financial       es of an interest rate hike     rels. The plunge follows                                           evated expectations,” said Logan Purk, an analyst
crisis and Great Recession.     diminished.                     news that oil drillers in the                                      with Edward Jones. “That’s part of the reason that
The Fed’s low interest rate     In company news, SAB-           U.S. are cutting production                                        FedEx has missed (earnings forecasts) the last couple
policy was designed to          Miller, a major beer maker      in the face of low oil prices.                                     quarters.”
encourage lending, but it       whose brands include Mill-      Oil company stocks fol-                                            Purk said in an interview that the company must
also helped drive a seven-      er and Foster’s, jumped 20      lowed crude oil higher. q                                          boost margins in its ground  business, which have
                                                                                                                                   been hurt by a low-margin acquisition, and would be
                                                                                                                                   helped by any improvement in the global economy
                                                                                                                                   and trade.
                                                                                                                                   The holiday-hiring plans were announced a day after
                                                                                                                                   rival UPS said that that it plans to hire 90,000 to 95,000
                                                                                                                                   extra workers, about the same that it hired last year.
                                                                                                                                   FedEx executives said they expect a record holiday
                                                                                                                                   season and have been talking to retailers to smooth
                                                                                                                                   out peak delivery days. In recent years, free-shipping
                                                                                                                                   promotions right up to Christmas have encouraged
                                                                                                                                   consumers to shop online later and make it harder
                                                                                                                                   for FedEx and UPS to predict and plan for the  busi-
                                                                                                                                   est days.
                                                                                                                                   In the quarter that ended Aug. 31, FedEx earned
                                                                                                                                   $692 million, up 6 percent from a year earlier. Earn-
                                                                                                                                   ings per share amounted to $2.42, short of the $2.44
                                                                                                                                   per share average forecast of 12 analysts surveyed
                                                                                                                                   by Zacks Investment Research.
                                                                                                                                   Revenue rose 5 percent, to $12.3 billion. Six analysts
                                                                                                                                   surveyed by Zacks expected $12.23 billion.q
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