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BUSINESS                 Monday 3 June 2019
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            In this July 18, 2018, file photo, United Airlines commercial jets
            sit at a gate at Terminal C of Newark Liberty International Airport
            in Newark, N.J.
                                                     Associated Press
            Airlines downgrade                                        In this Aug. 9, 2016 file photo, an avocado vendor talks on his cellphone at a market in Mexico
                                                                      City.  Summary:  The  potential  Trump  tariffs  are  expected  to  hit  U.S.  avocado  lovers  more  than
            2019 forecast amid                                        Mexican producers.                                                    Associated Press

            trade spats, fuel hike                                    Mexican avocado growers expect


            BY FRANK JORDANS             website.  The  737  Max  was   U.S. consumers to bear tariffs
            Associated Press             grounded  after  the  crash
            BERLIN  (AP)  —  The  Inter-  of  an  Ethiopian  Airlines  jet   By ARTURO PEREZ and AMY  fruit  the  nickname  “green  market,”  said  Humberto
            national  Air  Transport  As-  in  mid-March.  A  Lion  Air   GUTHRIE                  gold” in Mexico, the world’s  Solorzano,  a  third-gener-
            sociation  is  lowering  its  Max  crashed  in  October   Associated Press             top producer.                ation  avocado  producer
            2019 profit forecast for the  off the Indonesian coast. In   URUAPAN,   Mexico   (AP)  The  U.S.  is  the  top  export  also  in  Michoacan,  where
            airline  industry  amid  rising  all, 346 people died.    —  The  baby  avocados  in  market  for  Mexican  avo-    80% of Mexican avocados
            fuel prices and weakening  “The     consequences     of   Enrique  Bautista’s  vast  or-  cados, according to USDA  are grown.
            world trade.                 these  tragedies,  however,   chard  in  western  Mexico  data,   consuming    more  A  weakening  peso  will
            The  Montreal-based  IATA  go  far  beyond  the  techni-  will grow to maturity, even-  than  74%  of  total  exports.  shield  U.S.  consumers  from
            said  airlines  are  expected  cal,”  he  said.  “Trust  in  the   tually, and be shipped out  Japan absorbs at least 6%  higher  avocado  prices  in
            to earn $28 billion this year,  certification  system  has   of Mexico.                and Canada another 7% of  the  near-term,  Solorzano
            down from the $35.5 billion  been damaged — among         What remains to be seen is  the Mexican crop.             figured, but eventually the
            it had predicted in Decem-   regulators,  between  regu-  how  many  of  those  green  “Fortunately,  the  avocado  cost of any tariffs would be
            ber.  “Margins  are  being  lators and the industry and   gems will reach consumers  is  a  fruit  that’s  in  demand  absorbed  throughout  the
            squeezed  by  rising  costs  with the flying public.”     in the United States if Presi-  more  every  day  around  supply chain, landing most-
            right  across  the  board,  in-  De  Juniac  called  for  con-  dent Donald Trump makes  the world, that’s consumed  ly  on  U.S.  consumers.  The
            cluding labor, fuel, and in-  fidence  to  be  restored  in   good on his promise to slap  in  many  other  countries,”  peso  plunged  more  than
            frastructure,”  the  industry  the  way  that  civil  aircrafts   duties  on  Mexican  exports  said  Bautista,  who  gave  3% against the dollar on Fri-
            body  said  in  a  statement  are  certified  by  aviation   should  the  country  fail  to  The Associated Press a tour  day in the wake of Trump’s
            Sunday at its annual meet-   authorities  and  for  better   stem the tide of immigrants  of his orchard in Uruapan in  tweet  promising  tariffs  on
            ing in Seoul.                coordination among regu-     trying to reach the U.S.     Michoacan state on Satur-    all Mexican goods.
            It said competition among  lators  and  industry  when    The  potential  Trump  tariffs  day.                      On  Friday,  Mexican  Presi-
            airlines  remains  stiff  and  accidents  occur  and  swift   would hit U.S. avocado lov-  His  avocados  are  shipped  dent Andrés Manuel López
            “weakening     of   global  action needs to be taken.     ers more than Mexican pro-   entirely to the U.S.         Obrador  dispatched  his
            trade  is  likely  to  continue  “People were confused as   ducers,  Bautista  said.  De-  Mexican  orchards  yield  11  foreign  secretary  to  Wash-
            as the U.S.-China trade war  grounding  decisions  rolled   mand  north  of  the  border  avocados  for  every  one  ington  to  try  to  negotiate
            intensifies,” primarily affect-  out  in  some  markets  while   for Mexican avocados has  picked  in  California.  Mex-  a truce and point out what
            ing the cargo business, al-  it  was  business  as  usual  in   proven  very  static:  even  ico  also  produces  year-  Mexico  has  done  to  stem
            though  passenger  traffic  others,”  he  told  the  meet-  when  prices  expand  four-  round,  versus  California’s  the flow of migrants.
            could also be hit if tensions  ing.  “Put  yourselves  in  the   fold  during  the  year,  the  usual eight-month season.  It has stepped up raids on
            rise.  Addressing  concerns  shoes of travelers and I am   fruit  is  still  scooped  up  by  Production  in  California  migrant caravans traveling
            over  two  deadly  passen-   sure anyone would expect     U.S.  devotees  of  avocado  typically  covers  U.S.  de-  through the southern states
            ger plane crashes involving  better.”  IATA  members  at   toast and guacamole.        mand  for  avocados  this  of  Chiapas  and  Oaxaca
            Boeing’s  737  Max  model,  the meeting also backed a     Producers  in  Mexico  be-   time of year.                this year.
            IATA’s director-general said  plan that will cap net emis-  lieve  a  5%  —  or  even  25%  But the 2019 crop in Califor-  It  has  deported  thousands
            the disasters “have put our  sions  of  the  greenhouse   —  U.S.  tariff  on  avocados  nia  was  weak,  with  some  of  migrants  and  frustrated
            reputation in the spotlight.”  gas carbon dioxide from in-  will do little to dampen their  growers   reporting   total  thousands  more  who  wait
            “Investigations will ultimate-  ternational aviation at 2020   sales.                  failures due to record high  endlessly  for  permits  that
            ly reveal the cause. And a  levels.  Airlines  will  have   “I think the bigger risk is for  temperatures  last  summer  would allow them to travel
            remedy  will  be  found,”  Al-  to  spend  money  on  car-  U.S.  consumers”  having  that destroyed much of the  legally through Mexico.
            exandre  de  Juniac  said,  bon  reduction  measures      to  pay  higher  prices,  said  young fruit before maturity.  Trump’s tariff threat has also
            according  to  a  transcript  elsewhere  to  offset  excess   Bautista, 69, a second-gen-  The  California  avocado  received  pushback  from
            of  his  speech  on  IATA’s  emissions.q                  eration  avocado  grower  season also started late, so  U.S. businesses that rely on
                                                                      whose father was an early  Mexican  producers  have  Mexican production.
                                                                      exporter of the fruit that has  shipped much of their pro-  Solorzano  said  exporters
                                                                      become a staple in the di-   duce  north  since  April  in  are  looking  for  assurance
                                                                      ets of millions of Americans.  what is considered low sea-  despite   the   avocado’s
                                                                      The popularity of avocados  son for Mexican avocados.     privileged  status  as  a  “su-
                                                                      has  won  the  spreadable  “We  are  living  in  a  sellers’  per-food.”q
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