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A8   WORLD NEWS
                    Monday 7 January 2019


























            With US leaving, rival powers seek to move into Syria’s east



            By SARAH EL DEEB                                                                       armed  and  equipped  by  Turkey is equally concerned
            Associated Press                                                                       the  U.S.-led  coalition,  is  over  the  prospect  of  Syr-
            BEIRUT (AP) — The planned                                                              unlikely  to  disappear.  In-  ian  government  control
            U.S. troop withdrawal opens                                                            stead,  it  is  seeking  an  ar-  over  the  east.  In  the  past,
            up a void in the north and                                                             rangement  with  Assad  to  Damascus  has  used  the
            east of Syria, and the con-                                                            continue  operating  as  the  Kurdish  militia  as  leverage
            flicts and rivalries among all                                                         government  extends  con-    against  Ankara  and  could
            the  powers  in  the  Middle                                                           trol over the territory.     do  so  again.  For  nearly
            East are converging to fill it.                                                        Syrian  officials  boast  that  20  years,  Syria  hosted  the
            The  American  decision  to                                                            the withdrawal is a defeat  main Kurdish leader until he
            pull out its 2,000 troops has                                                          to  America.  Controlling  was captured in 1998, now
            forced  a  reassessment  of                                                            the  east  would  help  seal  imprisoned in Turkey.
            old  alliances  and  partner-                                                          Assad’s  victory  in  the  civil  ___
            ships.  The  Syrian  govern-                                                           war.  The  American  move  IRAN and ISRAEL
            ment,  the  Kurds,  Russia,                                                            also  accelerates  a  trend  A Syrian government move
            Iran, Israel and Turkey have                                                           by Arab states to normalize  east  means  the  spread  of
            all had a hand in the coun-  In  this  file  photo  taken  on  Wednesday,  March  28,  2018,  a   relations with Assad, whom  Iran as well. It will dramati-
            try’s  nearly  eight-year  war   member of the Kurdish internal security forces holds his weapon   they  shunned  for  years.  cally  widen  the  land  cor-
            —  each  in  a  way,  fighting   during a patrol in Manbij, north Syria.               The  United  Arab  Emirates,  ridor  where  Iran  enjoys
            its own war for its own rea-                                          Associated Press  a close U.S. and Saudi ally,  free  rein  for  its  allied  fight-
            sons within Syria. Now all of  around  a  third  of  Syria,  sought  goal  of  autonomy.  recently  reopened  its  em-  ers,  weapons  and  supplies
            those  conflicts  play  out  in  forming a rough triangle. To  For the U.S., the troop pres-  bassy in Damascus.    across  Iraq  and  Syria  to
            the  territory  being  aban-  the north is the border with  ence  ensured  American  ___                            Lebanon.  Already,  Iranian-
            doned  by  the  Americans,  Turkey, to the east the bor-  influence. Turkey sees Kurd-  TURKEY  vs.  KURDS,  RUSSIA  backed  militias  have  ex-
            creating new tensions, po-   der with Iraq, and the third  ish autonomy on its border  and ASSAD                    panded control over areas
            tential  chaos  and  blood-  side  is  the  Euphrates  River.  as an existential threat and  Turkey’s military, along with  near  Syria’s  border  with
            shed.                        This  was  the  heart  of  the  has vowed to prevent this,  some  15,000  allied  Syrian  Iraq  and  freely  cross  back
            To  reassure  jittery  allies,  Islamic  State  group’s  foot-  accusing  the  U.S.  of  em-  rebel  fighters,  is  poised  to  and forth.
            Washington  sent  national  hold in Syria until the United  powering the militia Ankara  launch  an  offensive  in  the  That has alarmed Israel. The
            security adviser John Bolton  States  partnered  with  a  says  is  linked  to  Kurdish  in-  east  to  break  Kurdish  con-  likely result will be increased
            to Israel on Sunday, where  Kurdish  militia,  creating  a  surgents in Turkey.        trol over the border.        Israeli  airstrikes  against  sus-
            he  said  U.S.  troops  will  not  force of some 60,000 fight-  ___                    But an offensive risks creat-  pected  Iranian-linked  tar-
            leave  northeastern  Syria  ers —including some Syrian  ASSAD and RUSSIA               ing  friction  with  Russia.  In  gets in Syria.
            until IS militants are defeat-  Arabs  and  Christian  Assyr-  Without the Americans, the  particular,  it  could  wreck  ___
            ed  and  American-allied  ians — that wrested it away  door  opens  for  Assad  and  a  cease-fire  agreement  THE U.S., TURKEY and the IS-
            Kurdish  fighters  are  pro-  from the militants.         his Russian backers to move  the two reached over Idlib,  LAMIC STATE GROUP
            tected. The comments put  The  territory  is  strategically  in.                       the  northwestern  province  President Donald Trump dis-
            the brakes on a withdrawal  important.  For  the  Syrian  “The  only  obstacle  pre-   held  by  rebels  and  Islamic  missed the idea that the U.S.
            abruptly  announced  last  government  of  President  venting  Assad  from  gain-      militants  where  Turkey  has  needs influence in the con-
            month and initially expect-  Bashar  Assad  and  its  allies  ing control of the east was  influence — enabling a Syr-  flict, saying Syria was noth-
            ed to be completed within  Russia and Iran, regaining it  the  U.S.  presence  and  the  ian government assault on  ing but “sand and death.”
            weeks. The announcement  means  re-establishing  sov-     cover  that  it  provided  to  the  province.  Russian  and  He  claims  the  U.S.  mission
            upset  regional  allies  and  ereignty.  The  territory  was  the  (Kurdish  militia).  With  Turkish  officials  have  been  there  —  to  fight  IS  —  has
            Pentagon     officials   who  once  the  source  of  Syria’s  that  gone  ...  there  is  sim-  holding talks, trying to avert  largely  been  completed.
            disagreed  with  the  assess-  wheat and barley, its dams  ply  no  real  challenge  that  tensions.                But IS still holds pockets and
            ment that IS was defeated.   generated  electricity  and  would  prevent  the  regime  “A  massive  Turkish  opera-  U.S.-led  coalition  officials
            “We’re going to be remov-    it holds some of Syria’s rich-  from re-establishing control  tion  is  not  in  Russia’s  inter-  warn  it  could  surge  again.
            ing our troops. I never said  est oil resources. Without it,  over those areas,” said Ay-  est. It destabilizes the situa-  Bolton  told  reporters  in  Je-
            we’re  doing  it  that  quick-  Assad  will  have  a  harder  ham Kamel, of the Eurasia  tion, risks undermining Idlib  rusalem that the conditions
            ly,”  Trump  told  reporters  in  time  with  reconstruction  group.                   agreements  and  talks  on  for a U.S. troop withdrawal
            Washington Sunday.           and  operating  long  term.  Abandoned by the U.S., the  reconstruction.  Plus,  if  Tur-  include the defeat of rem-
            Here is a look at what’s at  For  the  same  reasons,  it’s  Kurdish  fighters  are  forced  key decides to capture all  nants of IS in Syria, and pro-
            stake.                       been  a  source  of  income  to  move  toward  Russia  of  the  Kurdish  areas  it  will  tections  for  Kurdish  militias
            ___                          for the Kurdish militia.     and  Assad  for  protection  inevitably clash with Russia  who  have  fought  along-
            THE TERRITORY                For  the  Kurds,  their  hold  against  their  more  feared  and Iran,” said Yury Barmin,  side U.S. troops against the
            The  area  up  for  grabs  is  gave  weight  to  their  long-  enemy, Turkey. Their force,  a Russia analyst.       extremist group.q
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