Page 6 - ARUBA TODAY
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A6   U.S. NEWS
              Thursday 2 February 2017
                                                                      Retailers, trade groups fight GOP tax proposal
               Fed leaves rates alone, gives
               no hints of when it may hike                           ANNE D’INNOCENZIO            want  to  eliminate  tax  in-  ing members to meet with
                                                                      CHRISTOPHER S. RUGABER
                                                                                                   centives  that  encourage  different  levels  of  the  new
                                                                      AP Business Reporters        U.S.  companies  to  move  administration  as  well  as
               MARTIN CRUTSINGER                                      NEW  YORK  (AP)  —  More  overseas,  sharply  cut  the  lawmakers.  Details  of  the
               AP Economics Writer                                    than  100  retailers  includ-  corporate  tax  rate  to  20  consumer  campaign  are
               WASHINGTON (AP) — The Federal Reserve has left its     ing Wal-Mart and Target as  percent  from  35  percent,  still  being  worked  out,  ac-
               key interest rate unchanged at a time of solid eco-    well  as  key  trade  associa-  and encourage more fac-   cording to a spokeswoman
               nomic  gains  but  also  heightened  uncertainty  sur-  tions  are  launching  a  new  tory  output  at  home.  But  at the retail trade group.
               rounding the new Trump administration.                 coalition  aimed  at  fight-  opponents  say  the  plan  A  lot  is  at  stake.  Nearly  all
               At  the  same  time,  the  Fed  pointed  to  improved   ing a Republican proposal  would  have  a  harmful  rip-  such  items  that  U.S.  shop-
               sentiment  among  consumers  and  businesses.  And     on how imports get taxed,  pling effect, causing com-     pers  buy  are  either  wholly
               it said it had become more confident that inflation
               will reach its 2 percent target. But the Fed offered no
               hints about when it will resume raising rates.
               In  a  statement  it  issued  Wednesday  after  its  latest
               policy meeting, the Fed said it wants more time to
               monitor  the  economy  and  still  envisions  a  gradual
               pace of rate increases.
               Many economists think the Fed will put off further rate
               increases until more is known about President Don-
               ald Trump’s ambitious agenda, or whether his drive
               to cancel or rewrite trade deals will slow growth or
               unsettle investors.
               The statement offered a slightly more upbeat tone
               than  it  did  after  the  Fed’s  previous  meeting  in  De-
               cember,  reflecting  rising  confidence  in  the  econo-
               my and signs that chronically low inflation is moving
               higher.
               In January, a measure of consumer confidence shot
               up  to  the  highest  level  in  more  than  15  years,  the
               Conference Board has reported. And a measure of
               small  business  confidence  has  reached  its  highest
               point since 2004, according to the National Federa-
               tion of Independent Business.
               In its statement, the Fed said flatly that inflation “will
               rise to 2 percent over the medium term.” Previously,
               it had said only that inflation was “expected” to rise   A woman pushes her shopping cart as an employee pulls a long line of carts outside a Target store
               to 2 percent.                                          in Encinitas, Calif. More than 100 retailers, including Wal-Mart and Target as well as key trade as-
               But none of the revisions to the statement appeared    sociations, are launching a new coalition aimed at fighting a Republican proposal on how imports
               to hint that a rate hike could be coming as soon as    get taxed, which they believe would harm their businesses.
               the  Fed’s  next  meeting  in  March.  If  the  Fed  does                                                             (AP Photo/Lenny Ignelzi)
               want  to  signal  investors  of  a  forthcoming  rate  in-
               crease,  it  can  use  Chair  Janet  Yellen’s  semiannual   a  measure  they  believe  panies to even lay off work-  or  partly  produced  over-
               testimony on interest-rate policy to Congress on Feb.   would  harm  their  business-  ers. The proposal — spear-  seas  as  companies  have
               14-15 to do so.                                        es.                          headed  by  House  GOP  sought  the  cheapest  way
               Some economists said they still think a rate hike as   The National Retail Federa-  Speaker  Paul  Ryan  and  to  make  goods.  And  with
               soon as March is possible — if details of Trump’s eco-  tion, along with the Ameri-  Texas  Rep.  Kevin  Brady,  online  competition  and
               nomic plan become clearer by then and if the job       can  International  Automo-  the top Republican on the  shoppers  trained  to  find
               market continues to show strength.                     bile  Dealers  Association,  House  tax-writing  commit-  the best deals, U.S. retailers
               “We view this statement as a very small nudge to-      the National Grocers Asso-   tee — would constitute the  haven’t had the power to
               wards  the  next  rate  hike,  but  action  in  March  will   ciation and others are join-  most  sweeping  reforms  to  raise prices on many goods
               come only if the next two labor market reports are     ing  forces  to  form  Ameri-  corporate taxes in at least  for several years.
               strong and we have a clear idea of the likely extent   cans  for  Affordable  Prod-  three decades.              “I’m  losing  sleep.  I  am
               and timing of fiscal easing,” said Ian Shepherdson,    ucts, which will run a cam-  Trump  has  dismissed  the  scared  out  of  my  mind,”
               chief economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics.            paign to educate consum-     cornerstone  of  the  House  said   Rick   Woldenberg,
               Other analysts mentioned June as a more likely time    ers  and  show  lawmakers  GOP  plan  as  “too  compli-   CEO  of  Learning  Resourc-
               for the next rate hike. More will be known by then     that  the  so-called  Border  cated” and has been tout-   es, which has signed on to
               about the fate of Trump’s stimulus program and how     Adjusted  Tax  plan  would  ing  a  35  percent  levy  on  the coalition. It is a family-
               the economy and investors respond to it.               lead to higher prices of as  imports. Yet his spokesman  owned  company  based
               “We still expect the fiscal stimulus to be passed by   much  as  20  percent  on  appeared  to  put  the  tax  in  Vernon  Hills,  Illinois  that
               June,”  said  Paul  Ashworth,  chief  U.S.  economist  at   everyday  items  including  back  in  play  last  week  by  makes  educational  toys
               Capital  Economics.  “As  the  stimulus  boosts  eco-  clothing,  food  and  even  proposing a 20 percent tax  and employs 150 people in
               nomic growth and particularly inflation, we then an-   gas.  The  diversified  group,  on goods from Mexico and  the U.S.
               ticipate a much more aggressive second half of the     which  also  includes  such  “other countries we have a  He  estimates  that  under
               year” by the Fed.                                      companies  as  Nike,  Best  trade  deficit  with”  to  pay  the  GOP  plan  his  federal
               Ashcroft  envisions  three  rate  increases  from  June   Buy,  luxury  conglomerate  for a border wall.         tax rate would soar to 165
               through December.                                      LVMH  and  Dollar  General,  “There’s  a  rush  to  get  this  percent from 39.6 percent,
               Wednesday’s Fed statement was approved 10-0. The       is  trying  to  make  their  op-  done in Congress. We want  he  would  have  to  raise
               panel’s  voting  membership  among  regional  bank     position  heard  even  while  to make sure our voices are  prices by 10 percent to 15
               presidents rotates each January, and two members       Congress and the president  heard,” said David French,  percent to stay viable, and
               who dissented at times in 2016 in favor of faster rate   try to sort out exactly what  chief  lobbyist  for  the  Na-  would have to lay off em-
               increases do not have votes this year.                 adjustments to put forth.    tional  Retail  Federation,  ployees.
                                                                      Congressional Republicans  which  has  been  dispatch-
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