Page 321 - Data Science Algorithms in a Week
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302             Mayra Bornacelli, Edgar Gutierrez and John Pastrana

                                                     INTRODUCTION


                          Increasing  interest  and  implementation  of  data  analytics  have  been  demonstrating
                       how it is possible to extract valuable knowledge from data that companies can collect
                       through  their  systems,  insights  from  market  experts,  data  patterns,  trends,  and
                       relationships  with  other  markets.  Data  analytics  can help  understand  the  business  in a
                       holistic point of view. Challenges that create techniques and methodologies are beneficial
                       for  this  purpose  (Chen  &  Zhang,  2014;  Groschupf  et  al.,  2013).  Organizations  are
                       investing in data analytics and machine learning techniques. For example, a survey by
                       Gartner reveals that 73% of the surveyed companies, are investing in data analytics and
                       big  data  technology  (Rivera,  2014).  In  general  analytics  help  organizations  increase
                       revenue,  speed  time  to  market,  optimize  its  workforce,  or  realize  other  operational
                       improvements  Predictive  analytics  is  the  arm  of  data  analytics  and  it  is  a  scientific
                       paradigm for discoveries (Hey, 2009).
                          McKinsey stated the potential use of predictive analytics (Manyika et al., 2012) and
                       its impact in innovation and productivity. Another important factor is that the volume of
                       data  is  estimated  to  increase  minimum  by  double  each  1.2  years.  This  is  even  more
                       important in a globalized economy due to continuous changes and uncertainty. Various
                       decisions  are  made  such  as  investment  decisions,  expansion  decisions,  or  simply  the
                       philosophy  that  the  company  will  adopt  in  terms  of  maximizing  profits  or  having  a
                       constant cash flow. Making strategic decisions involves understanding the structure of a
                       system and the number of variables that influence it (mainly outside the control of the
                       stakeholders). The complex structure and the numerous variables make these decisions
                       complex and risky. Risk is determined by four main factors when trying to innovate as
                       mentioned by Hamel & Ruben (2000):

                            Size of the irreversible financial commitment,
                            Degree to which the new opportunity moves away from the core of the company,
                            Degree  of  certainty  about  the  project’s  critical  assumptions  (especially  the
                              demand),
                            Time Frame

                          In a rapidly changing world, there are few second chances, and in spite of risks and
                       uncertainty,  companies  have  to  make  decisions  and  take  steps  forward  or  try  to  stay
                       afloat.  This  uncertainty  is  sometimes  directly  associated  with  the  price  of  the  main
                       products in the market, and it affects income, return on investment, labor stability, and
                       financial projections. This is the case of the thermal coal market and many oligopolies,
                       whose price is regulated internationally under a point of balance between demand and
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