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CPCA CORNER





                                 Current Paint and Coatings


                                                             Issues in Canada







         BY GARY LEROUX

         CAnADIAn COATInGS MARkET uPDATE –                     Overall, it has been a difficult year for many in the coat-
         FALL 2020                                          ings sector, especially those companies supplying the non-
         Shortly after the start of the economic lockdowns in April  architectural and industrial coatings markets. Industry lead-
         a CPCA Affiliate Member, Orr & Boss, provided CPCA with  ers are hopeful that the worst is behind them as the initial
         a forecast on the Canadian coatings market for 2020 and  shock of the recession and its associated operational
         its recovery into 2021. Given the economic volatility caused  changes have faded. Also, there continue to be growing
         by the pandemic, Orr & Boss recently updated the outlook.   opportunities in various coatings markets such as antimi-
           In general, the new forecast is slightly more optimistic  crobial and anti-viral coatings. Assuming further lockdowns
         for the Canadian paint and coatings market than at the  do not significantly affect manufacturing recovery, the sector
         outset of the pandemic, driven by the strong architectural  as a whole should continue trending upward into Q4 of
         DIY sector. Residential construction activity returned to  2020 and materialize into some growth, however modest,
         pre-COVID levels igniting new contract painter business  in 2021.
         and as homeowners began to allow contractors in their
         homes, further increasing paint sales. As a result, paint  CAnADIAn EnvIROnMEnTAL PROTECTIOn ACT
         manufacturing activity is recovering faster than expected.   CPCA contributed to the Industry Coordinating Group’s
           Overall, total volume and value is expected to be  (ICG) formal submission to the federal government on in-
         down about 3 percent for the year, before rebounding  dustry’s real concerns with the prospect of CEPA reform
         next year to the tune of 3.5 percent for volume and 6.1  and the continued functioning of chemical assessment un-
         percent for value. However, the market is quite volatile  der the CMP during the COVID-19 pandemic. ICG is com-
         and these numbers obscure some of the realities experi-  prised of more than 20 associations representing companies
         enced by specific sectors. The largest segment, architec-  in the chemical industry. In July 2020, the federal govern-
         tural coatings, had a good year, up 4.3 percent in volume  ment assured ICG that work on CEPA reform and renewal
         and 7.1 percent in value. With homeowners staying  of the Chemicals Management Plan (CMP) was continuing.
         home and spending less time traveling, eating in restau-  There have been a number of legislative timelines
         rants, or at other entertainment options, many have    pushed back in Canada and throughout the world due to
         focused on upgrading their homes.                  the pandemic. Hence, government reached out to industry
           Other non-architectural industrial coatings segments have  to determine if any of these changes affected industry’s
         not been as strong. The auto-OEM market is down signifi-  views on possible CEPA reform or CMP renewal. CPCA
         cantly as it is closely tied to the number of new automotive  supports the wider chemical industry position that the
         builds in Canada, which are down 43 percent through June  flexibility of CEPA allows more effective chemical assess-
         of this year. The auto-refinish market is similarly down, as  ment under the current legislation, especially if accompa-
         it correlates directly with the number of auto accidents,  nied by appropriate policy innovations. The ability to
         which have decreased because of reduced traffic and con-  evolve and set new targets is already built-in to the chem-
         gestion with many working from home. In fact, major  ical assessment process in Canada with the focus on risk
         Canadian cities have traffic congestion levels 32 percent  assessment, which has made the CMP among the best in
         below September 2019 values. Other industrial coatings  the world for assessment.
         segments such as powder coatings are largely driven by   Industry urged government to focus on completing the
         manufacturing activity. Canadian manufacturing activity is  work already committed to under the CMP process and
         slowly returning to pre-pandemic levels but as of August it  any proposed changes should be consistent with the many
         is still below last year’s levels. Orr & Boss forecasts that  efforts made to date both for chemical assessment and risk
         manufacturing activity will continue its upward trajectory  management. Industry encourages the federal government
         in the coming months and by year-end will be above last  to explore new directions, which can easily be accommo-
         year’s level.                                      dated without any changes to the CEPA statute.

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