Page 43 - Carbon Frauds and Corruption
P. 43

Corruption of Bribery

                                      Chapter 6 : Corruption in the “Carbon World”



                Baseline 1990              778,072,000      773,846,154                         4,225,846
                2008 Actual                 629,791,430     623,913,043                         5,878,387
                2012 at 22%     1          606,896,160     603,600,000       773,846,154        3,296,160
                2013‐2017 at 28%   2       560,211,840     556,400,000       772,777,778         3,811,840
                2018‐2022 at 34%   3        513,527,520    508,800,000      770,909,091          4,727,520
                2023‐2027 at 50%   4       389,036,000     390,000,000      780,000,000          ‐964,000
                Totals                    2,069,671,520    2,058,800,000                        10,871,520
                                    th
               Table 1; Extracts from the 4  Carbon Budget
               The bottom line is that if the UK sticks to all of its targets the trajectory of temperature rises (if
               they exist at all) will be reduced by 0.024C by 2050.

               An interesting point to note from the budget‐mainly because it is not mentioned‐is the foolishness of building
               massive wind farms and power generation in the North of England and Scotland when 12% is lost in in
               transmission into Southern civilisation. Building wind farms in Scotland and the North of England is obviously
               another “noble cause”.

               5.6.3   A Look to the Future
               The goalposts and metrics (see page  xxx) have been changed so often, with different agencies
               giving different figures, that it is difficult to understand what the U.K.'s future position will be. It
               is expected to be as follows:

                     Kyoto obligations will come to an end in December 2012 although the ETS will remain a
                       dominant force with the European Union whose officials will take over many of the
                       decisions currently made by individual European Designated National Authorities
                     The UNFCCC will continue in a coordinating role, maintain CDM and JI registers and
                       support existing and past projects
                     Countries will increasingly enter into specific bi‐lateral agreements on offset projects
                     Allowances will be auctioned with the money invested in Green Investment Schemes
                       mainly by PFI type projects: with all the fraud and corruption that these entail
                     Excess AAUs may be carried forward into new budgetary periods
                     All counties in Europe with the exception of Germany and the UK have excess allowances
                     Allowances will be based on “product specific industry wide benchmarks” leading to
                       even more bureaucracy
                     New industries such as aluminium refining, chemicals, aviation and shipping will fall under
                       the ETS
                     International credits will be accepted for compliance programmes up to 2020

               The budget – like the EU pronouncements – is silent on what will happen to the massive “hot air”
               CDM credits generated by HFC and nitrous oxide CDM projects so it is worth saying a little about
               them here.



               C:\Cobasco\NEW BOOK ON BRIBERY AND CARBON\For Cobasco Web Site Remove Chapters\Chapter 6 Corruption in   25
               the Carbon World for Gower.docx                                 | A SHORT HISTORY OF GLOBAL COOLING
               Warming
   38   39   40   41   42   43   44   45   46   47   48