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27                                Volume 73 Number 1
         15 February 2021
         tion. Check the last location date on the map to        next in line.  The Canadian Forces is handling the
         see when the ship checked in. Canada’s subma-           federal distribution of the vaccine; Dr. Penny Bal-
         rines will also never appear as they do not broad-      lem, former Deputy Minister of Health for five
         cast their location.                                    years, former City Manager for Vancouver, and
                                                                 current Chair of the Vancouver Coastal Health
         https://www.navalassoc.ca/fleet-tracker/
                                                                 Authority is in charge of getting the vaccine into
                                                                 our arms.  I have known Penny for almost 50
                                                                 years and I can vouch to you that she is a very
                                                                 good administrator and pays attention to detail –
                                                                 just ask King Wan!  Canada is taking more steps
                                                                 on to isolate people flying into Canada.
                                                                 The short story – everything is trending the right
                                                                 way.  There will still be bumps along the way but
                                                                 so far in 2021, so good.  I am optimistic.
        COVID-19 Update – 01 February 2021
        Dr. John Blatherwick, “Former Naval Person”
                                                                 The New York Times
                                                                 By David Leonhardt, 1 February 2021
                               very time you turn on the         Infections aren’t what matters
                           E  TV for news or read a news-                        he news about the vaccines contin-
                           paper, the headlines are how                      T  ues to be excellent — and the public
                           bad the COVID-19 pandemic is                      discussion of it continues to be more neg-
                           and how stupid somebody, often                    ative than the facts warrant.
                           a politician is, regarding the                    Here’s the key fact: All five vaccines with
                           handling of the outbreak.                         public results have eliminated Covid-19
                           Trump is gone so the number of                    deaths. They have also drastically re-
                           negative stories regarding                        duced hospitalizations. “They’re all good
                           COVID-19 have doubled.  The                       trial results,” Caitlin Rivers, an epidemiol-
                           only problem is – it is generally                 ogist at Johns Hopkins University, told
        wrong.  Children continue to be safer in schools         me. “It’s great news.”
        than at home; the health care system is not col-         Many people are instead focusing on relatively minor
        lapsing; and after the Christmas bump, the num-          differences among the vaccine results and wrongly as-
        bers are stabilizing.  And biggest of all, there are     suming that those differences mean that some vac-
        two (three by the time this is published with the        cines won’t prevent serious illnesses. It’s still too early
        Johnson and Johnson due to be approved) vac-             to be sure, because a few of the vaccine makers have
        cines that continue to work extremely well.  So far      released only a small amount of data. But the available
        in the USA, there have been no admissions to ICU         data is very encouraging — including about the vac-
        for people who have had two doses of the vaccine.        cines’ effect on the virus’s variants.
        And so far, they seem to work against the UK,            “The vaccines are poised to deliver what people so
        South Africa and California variants.  OK – I know       desperately want: an end, however protracted, to this
        – we haven’t received any vaccine in Canada the          pandemic,” as Julia Marcus of Harvard Medical School
        past week and won’t in the first week of February        recently wrote in The Atlantic.
        – but – that is so that the vaccine production,          Why is the public understanding more negative than it
        where Canada gets its vaccine from – can increase        should be? Much of the confusion revolves around the
        capacity.  Increased capacity means we’ll be able        meaning of the word “effective.”
        to get all the vaccine Canada has ordered faster.        What do we care about?
        So, every time you read a story or hear a story          In the official language of research science, a vaccine
        about how bad things are, remember that the vac-         is typically considered effective only if it prevents peo-
        cine is real, it works and we’re going to be able to     ple from coming down with any degree of illness. With
        get it.  Since many of the NOABC members are             a disease that’s always or usually horrible, like ebola
        age 75 plus, we are due to get it in April (register     or rabies, that definition is also the most meaningful
        for it in March – keep an eye out for details).  The     one.
        people getting the vaccine are front line health         But it’s not the most meaningful definition for most
        care workers and people living in nursing homes –        coronavirus infections.
        the hardest hit group for the vaccine.  But we are


                                                                                                      http://www.noabc.com/
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