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degrees of freedom in the three metric h ij and one in the scalar  eld. However two of these
               scalar degrees correspond to coordinate freedom. Thus there is only one physical scalar
               degree of freedom and it corresponds to density perturbations.
                    The analysis for the scalar perturbations is very similar to that for the tensor harmon-
               ics if one uses one coordinate choice for the period up to the wave function freezing and

               another after that. In converting from one coordinate system to the other, the amplitudes
               get multiplied by a factor of the expansion rate divided by the average rate of change
               of phi. This factor will depend on the slope of the potential, but will be at least 10 for

               reasonable potentials. This means the 
uctuations in the microwave background that the
               density perturbations produce will be at least 10 times bigger than from the gravitational
               waves. Thus the upper limit on the energy density at the time of wave function freezing
               is only 10 −12  of the Planck density. This is well within the range of the validity of the
               approximations I have been using. Thus it seems we don't need string theory even for the

               beginning of the universe.
                    The spectrum of the 
uctuations with angular scale agrees within the accuracy of the
               present observations with the prediction that it should be almost scale free. And the size
               of the density perturbations is just that required to explain the formation of galaxies and

               stars. Thus it seems the no boundary proposal can explain all the structure of the universe
               including little inhomogeneities like ourselves.
                    One can think of the perturbations in the microwave background as arising from
               thermal 
uctuations in the scalar  eld  . The in
ationary period has a temperature

               of the expansion rate over 2  because it is approximately periodic in imaginary time.
               Thus, in a sense, we don't need to  nd a little primordial black hole: we have already
               observed an intrinsic gravitational temperature of about 10  26  degrees, or 10 −6  of the Planck
               temperature.





                               COBE predictions plus               upper limit on energy density
                                                              ⇒
                           gravitational wave perturbations            10 −10  Planck density
                                                                   upper limit on energy density
                               plus density perturbations     ⇒
                                                                       10 −12  Planck density
                                  intrinsic gravitational         10 −6  Planck temperature
                                                              ≈
                              temperature of early universe            =10   26  degrees





                    What about the intrinsic entropy associated with the cosmological event horizon. Can


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