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3.5  Numbers,  trends, status, and conservation of Cape Gannet
                           (Morus capensis)



                  Authors: AB Makhado, DB Tom, BM Dyer, M Masotla, L Upfold, and RJM Crawford


                  Abstract:
                  Cape Gannets (Morus capensis) are endemic to southern Africa, where they bred, or attempted to breed, at ten islands in the Benguela
                  upwelling system (BUS). Since 1956 they have bred at six localities. Their overall population decreased from c. 254,000 pairs in 1956/57
                  to c. 145,000 pairs in 2021/22. Given a generation length of 18.3 years, in 2022 they were classified as Endangered by the International
                  Union for Conservation of Nature. Whereas most Cape Gannets bred in Namibia in 1956/57, by 1978/79 numbers in Namibia and South
                  Africa were approximately equivalent and thereafter most birds nested in South Africa. In South Africa, after 2000, numbers breeding in
                  the west decreased but numbers in the east increased. These distributional shifts were influenced by changes in both abundance and
                  availability of prey. In 2021/22, 70% of the species’ overall population bred at its easternmost colony, Bird Island in Algoa Bay. The main
                  driver of the decrease in gannets was food scarcity, with other threats including losses to predation by Cape Fur Seals (Arctocephalus
                  pusillus pusillus), by-catch, oil spills, disease, severe weather, and human disturbance.

                  Introduction:
                  Cape Gannets (Morus capensis) are endemic to southern Africa, where they have bred or attempted to breed at ten islands within the
                  Benguela upwelling system (BUS; Crawford et al. 1983, Sherley et al. 2019). Since 1956 they have nested at six of these islands, three
                  of which (Mercury, Ichaboe, and Possession) are in Namibia and three (Bird in Lambert’s Bay, Malgas and Bird in Algoa Bay) in South
                  Africa (Figure 1).
                     Cape Gannets were a major producer of seabird guano in southern Africa (Crawford and Shelton 1978, Makhado et al. 2021). They
                  were present at Mercury and Ichaboe islands, but not at Possession Island, in 1828 (Crawford et al. 1983). Extensive exploitation of
                  accumulated deposits of guano at Ichaboe Island from 1843 to 1845 made it unlikely that gannets would have been able to breed there at
                  that time. This may have caused them to colonise Halifax and Possession islands. They stopped breeding at Halifax Island by the 1920s
                  (Crawford et al. 1983) but a small colony persisted at Possession Island (Table 1). Cape Gannets bred at Hollamsbird Island from at least
                  1828 until at least 1938 (Crawford et al. 1983, Shaughnessy 1984) but did not in 1956 (Rand 1963b). Since then, Hollamsbird Island has
                  been mainly a rookery for Cape Fur Seals (Arctocephalus pusillus pusillus) (Rand 1963b, Williams and Dyer 1990). Cape Gannets were
                  present at Malgas Island in 1648 and at Bird Island in Algoa Bay in 1755. They bred at Seal Island in False Bay in 1687, but have not done
                  so since the late 18  century (Crawford et al. 1983). The earliest record of gannets breeding at Lambert’s Bay was of one or two pairs in
                                th
                  1912 (Jarvis 1971). The colony then rapidly increased in size (Crawford et al. 1983). Cape Gannets do not normally come ashore at sites
                  that are not breeding localities (Crawford et al. 1983, Berruti 1985). However, they were seen ashore at Robben Island in 1968 and at Dyer
                  Island in 1984 and 1985. One egg was found at Dyer Island in October 1985 (Berruti 1985, Crawford et al. 1986).
                     Cape Gannets feed extensively on high-energy sardine (Sardinops sagax) and anchovy (Engraulis encrasicolus), two shoaling fish
                  species, which are also heavily exploited by the purse-seine fisheries of Namibia and South Africa (Crawford et al. 1985, 2019, Klages et
                  al. 1992, Berruti et al. 1993, Green et al. 2014). Following a collapse of Namibia’s sardine resource in the 1960s and 1970s, there was
                  a large decrease in numbers of Cape Gannets breeding in that country. In the 1970s, anchovy was plentiful off South Africa and there
                  was an increase in the number of gannets breeding there (Crawford 2007, Crawford et al. 2007). At the recent turn of the century there
                  were shifts to the southeast of sardine and anchovy off South Africa (Fairweather et al. 2006, Roy et al. 2007). This was associated with
                  decreased numbers of Cape Gannets breeding at South African colonies west of Cape Agulhas but increased numbers nesting in Algoa
                  Bay (Crawford et al. 2014). These changes in the distribution of Cape Gannets are illustrated in Figure 2.
                     This chapter collates estimates of numbers of Cape Gannets breeding at different localities in southern Africa, and summarises the
                  species’ conservation status, Important Bird and Biodiversity Areas (IBAs) and threats to it.

                  Numbers and conservation status                     The  largest  number  to  have  bred  at  an  island  was  c.
                                                                    175,000  pairs  at  Ichaboe  Island  in  1956/57.  Maxima
                  Records of Cape Gannets breeding at localities in different   observed at other colonies are shown in Table 1, the lowest
                  years from 1648–2021 are shown in Table 1. Information   being about 9,400 pairs at Mercury Island, also in 1956/57.
                  was collated from Rand (1963a, b), Jarvis (1971), Jarvis   The overall number breeding in 1956/57 was estimated
                  and Cram (1971), Randall and Ross (1979), Crawford et   to  be  c.  254,000  pairs,  of  which  69%  bred  at  Ichaboe
                  al.  (1983,  2007),  Kemper  (2015),  Sherley  et  al.  (2019),   Island in Namibia in the central BUS. This decreased to c.
                  and  relevant  breeding  locality  chapters  in  this  volume.   145,000 pairs in 2021/22, when 70% bred at Bird Island,
                  Most values were calculated as the product of the density   Algoa Bay, in South Africa at the eastern boundary of the
                  of  nests  measured  at  a  locality  and  the  area  occupied   BUS. Over the same period numbers breeding in Namibia
                  by  breeding  gannets,  which  was  determined  from  aerial   decreased  from  204,000  pairs  to  10,000  pairs,  whereas
                  photographs (Crawford et al. 2007, Sherley et al. 2019).   in  South Africa  numbers  increased  from  50,000  pairs  to
                  Smaller colonies were sometimes counted on the ground.   134,000 pairs (Table 1).
                  When multiple counts were obtained at a locality in a given   In  2015,  Cape  Gannets  were  considered  Critically
                  year, the maximum was used. Midpoints of ranges given   Endangered (CR) in Namibia (Kemper 2015) and Vulnerable
                  for Bird Island, Algoa Bay by Randall and Ross (1979) were   (VU)  in  South  Africa  (Hagen  2015).  In  2019,  a  model
                  used for 1755 and 1858.  Minima given by Jarvis (1981)   indicated  that  the  overall  population  should  be  classified
                  were  used  for  Bird  Island,  Lambert’s  Bay,  in  1907  and   as either Endangered (EN) or VU (Sherley et al. 2019). In
                  1912. ‘√’ signifies that breeding occurred at a locality but   2022,  its  conservation  status  was  listed  as  Endangered
                  the numbers were not ascertained; ‘?’ that breeding may   (EN) by the International Union for Conservation of Nature
                  have taken place.                                 (IUCN),  on  account  of  a  large  population  reduction  over

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