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Catastrophe Modeling



           Equipping you to adapt and recover from any major disruption.





           Catastrophe Modeling


           Forecasters use a combination of data to get the most complete analysis possible so insurance
           companies can determine potential loss's locations can sustain over a certain period. This allows
           organizations to price products to balance market needs and potential costs, and how much risk they
           should transfer to reinsurance companies.
           Our Partnership                                        Modeling Services

           HUB International partnered with AIR-Touchstone
                                                                        1. Earthquake  Incorporates data from recent
           Consulting Group that founded the CAT Modeling                 events, elements of earthquake science,
           industry in 1987, and today models the risk from               geographical location conditions and structural
                                                                          building performance from businesses all over the
           natural catastrophes and terrorism in more than 90             world.
           countries. More than 400 insurance, reinsurance,
                                                                        2. Fire  Events based on key drivers such as
           financial, corporate, and government clients rely on           vegetation type, topography, and wind conditions.
           AIR software and services for catastrophe risk                 Users of this model can estimate average annual
                                                                          losses and probable maximum losses and simulate
           management and AIR is a member of the Verisk                   probability distributions of insured loss for an entire
           Insurance Solutions group at Verisk Analytics.                 portfolio as well as an individual property.
                                                                        3. Flood  Enables users to understand the frequency
           General Principles                                             and severity of flood risk across the entire risk
                                                                          transfer chain, allowing clients to make informed
           •  Event/Hazard Modeling                                       decisions. Our flood models facilitate capital
             Incorporates statistical data to develop                     allocation, accumulation controls, reinsurance
                                                                          pricing and portfolio management.
             catastrophic events. These models vary by
             type of catastrophe and are calculated                     4. Tropical Wind  Generates robust set of storm
                                                                          events and estimates the magnitude, intensity, and
             utilizing geography, history of events and                   location of the event to determine the amount of
             spread of client resources and assets.                       damage and calculate the insured loss because of a
                                                                          catastrophic event such as a hurricane.
           •  Vulnerability/Financial Modeling                          5. Terrorism  Modeling considers damage, including
             Addresses the potential damage by the event                  building damage and injuries, from array of
                                                                          conventional weapons, chemical,
             (Earthquake, Fire, Flood, Tropical Wind and
                                                                          biological/radiological, nuclear (CBRN) weapons,
             Terrorism) to provide EP Curves for each                     and airplane crashes.
                                                                        6. Winter Storm - Incorporates damage functions
             approach. Ultimately, this is driven by variable             specific to wind, precipitation, and temperature to
                                                                          develop a realistic catalog of tens of thousands of
             such as deductibles to determine the overall                 potential winter storms across the U.S.
             potential monetary loss to the client or
                                                                        7. Severe Thunderstorms - Incorporates the
             insurance company.                                           frequency, severity, and geographical distribution of
                                                                          potential losses from straight-line winds, hail, and
                                                                          tornadoes. While severe thunderstorm is a relatively
                                                                          high frequency peril, aggregate losses can result in
                                                                          extreme volatility in financial results.
         hubriskservices.com


        www.hubrealestate.com                                                         Real Estate Insurance Solutions 19
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