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The UK Defence Industry in the 21  Century
                                                                        st
                                            The Five Forces of Americanisation

                   It offers solutions to strengthen the defence industry by closing important gaps and ensuring long-term
                   readiness. It also suggests ways for Member States to invest heavily in defence, buy necessary equipment,
                   and support the industry’s growth over time.
                   The white paper outlines 3 key areas of action:
                   •    Closing capability  gaps and  supporting  the European  defence  industry,  including  simplifying
                        regulations and streamlining industrial programmes.
                   •    Deepening  the single  defence  market and  accelerating  the  transformation  of  defence  through
                        disruptive innovations such as AI and quantum technology.
                   •    Enhancing European readiness for worst-case scenarios, by improving military mobility, stockpiling,
                        and fostering operational cooperation across the EU.
                   Investing in European defence means investing in lasting peace and long-term stability for both current and
                   future generations. But not only. It also means boosting technological innovation, supporting European
                   competitiveness, promoting regional development and powering economic growth.  The ReArm Europe
                   Plan/ Readiness 2030 will boost defence funding by giving EU countries more financial flexibility.
                   It will achieve this by:
                   •    activating the national escape clause of the Stability and Growth Pact, allowing Member States to
                        increase defence spending. A 1.5% GDP increase in defence budgets could create nearly EUR 650
                        billion in fiscal space over four years.
                   •    launching  a  EUR  150  billion loan  instrument -  Security  Action  for  Europe  (SAFE) -  that  will  help
                        countries invest in key defence areas like missile defence, drones, and cyber security. The funds will
                        be raised on capital markets and disbursed to interested Member States upon demand, based on
                        national plans. SAFE will encourage Member States to spend better, together and European.
                   •     supporting the European Investment Bank Group in widening the scope of its lending to defence and
                        security projects and accelerating the Savings and Investment Union to mobilise private capital so
                        that the European defence industry is not reliant on public investment alone
                   Fully leveraging these financial tools will have positive effects for our economy and competitiveness. This
                   includes building new factories and production lines essential for generating good jobs in Europe.
                   (Introducing the White Paper for European Defence and the ReArm Europe Plan- Readiness 2030: European
                   Commission, 12 March 2025)
               5.  “The biggest reform of the Ministry of Defence in over 50 years to fix what the Public Accounts Committee
                   calls the ‘broken’ defence procurement system and to strengthen UK Defence, has been launched by the
                   Defence Secretary”:
                   “Our government is delivering the change we promised: cracking down on waste and boosting Britain’s
                   defence industry. We will forge “One Defence”, which is clear in its goals and consistent in its methods, to
                   make Britain secure at home and strong abroad.
                   “The world is more dangerous, with growing Russian aggression, conflict in the Middle East and increasing
                   global threats.
                   “These vital reforms will make UK military decision making faster, keep the country safer and achieve best
                   value  for  taxpayers.  This  Government  will  strengthen  UK  Defence  to  respond  to  increasing  threats”.
                   (“Major  defence  reforms  launched,  with  new  National  Armaments  Director  to  tackle  waste  and  boost
                                                                         th
                   industry”: John Healey, Secretary of State for Defence;  UK MoD; 25  October, 2024)
               6.  “Leverage has been called "negotiation's prime mover," conferring power to reach agreement "on your
                   terms." This power, however, is not always benign. When a negotiator has sufficient power to compel a
                   counterparty  to  accept  a  set  of  unfavorable  (sic)  terms,  the  use  of  leverage  may  cross  a  line  into
                   inappropriate or illegal coercion”.
                   The significance of Kirgis’ research to this paper is amplified by his references to negotiations between the
                   USA’s Republicans and President Obama’s Democratic government regarding its proposed Affordable Care
                   Act  in  2013.  Negotiations  became  increasingly  “acrimonious”,  with  the  President  declaring  that  “the
                   financial well-being of the American people is not leverage to be used”, asserting that House Republicans
                   “will not collect a ransom in exchange for not crashing the American economy”.



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               07/07/2025                                                                                                                                   Richard Hooke 2025
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