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The UK Defence Industry in the 21  Century
                                                                        st
                                            The Five Forces of Americanisation

               The Five Forces of Americanisation
               1.  The global security framework
               Synopsis

               Within  an  increasingly  insecure  environment,  nations  across  the  world,  from  the  Global  South  to
               Europe and beyond, from BRICS and the CSTO to the EU and NATO, share an appetite to maintain
               national autonomy whilst joining together both to achieve peaceful co-existence and to establish a
               secure position in the world economy. But the new US government indicates a desire to stand apart;
               to act independently of its western allies, adopting America First as its guiding principle.

               In adapting to an increasingly insecure world, the international framework of military alliances and
               economic and security structures is being reworked and re-evaluated in a way not seen since the end
               of World War II. As has been the case for nearly a century, America continues, for now, to be the major
               influence, its policy decisions and pronouncements provoking action across the world, even though
               they currently appear likely to isolate America and undermine its influence on global affairs.

               Whilst the foundations of this framework have endured for over eighty years, forty years ago they
               served to inform the post-Cold War consolidation of the world’s defence industry. From the end of the
               1980s,  a  new,  interdependent  network  of  numerous  cross-border  mergers,  acquisitions  and  joint
               corporate ventures emerged. The configuration of this network, whilst informed by the events of the
               1940s, was defined by a wider combination of factors. Not just by national and international security
               and diplomacy but also by the trade in arms and military equipment, the influence of global financial
               markets  and  a  developing  business  culture  attuned  to  shorter  timescales  and  personal  financial
               reward.  The  fact  that  these  factors  are  not  always  in  alignment  has  created  a  complex  web  of
               interconnections between nation across the world.
               Hence,  in  addition  to  corporate  mergers,  acquisitions  and  strategic  alliances,  new  international
               partnerships  have  also  been  formed  to  develop  and  bring  into  service  new  defence  systems  and
               capabilities  (eg:  the  F-35,  AUKUS,  European  Typhoon  and  South  Korean  KF-21).  These,  and  their
               subsequent expanded versions as further nations join, have evolved into closer, long-term associations.
               Stimulated by  reciprocal trade and both direct and indirect offset arrangements, these associations
               have evolved to address both security and economic objectives.
               Eight Balkan states await entry to the EU via its “stabilisation and association” process. The seven
               member  countries  that  the  EU  views  as  “Central  Europe”  (Bulgaria,  Croatia,  Hungary,  Poland,
               Romania, Slovakia and Slovenia) do not feature in the European defence industry’s network of cross-
               border alliances and mergers. Yet together, these 15 countries could become critical to the EU’s ability
               to sustain both a genuinely cohesive DIB as well as a practical deterrent to further Russian expansion
               in Europe: an exemplar of modern peacekeeping and delivering prosperity through collectivism.
               The emergence of a radically different US foreign policy has challenged the founding principles upon
               which  such  alliances  are  based.  It  has  more  clearly  defined  the  notion  of  “pragmatism”  in
               peacemaking. It is no longer simply the use or threat of military power to be used alongside peaceful
               diplomacy but is now the open acceptance of war as a tool in facilitating trade and commercial gain.

               In doing so, whilst dismissing the notion of American idealism stressed by George W Bush and by US
               Presidents before and after him, it has illustrated the link between the health of a nation’s economy,
               its  trade  with  other  countries  and  its  national  defence.  It  is  noteworthy  that  President  Trump’s
               emphasis on dealmaking reflects much of what has emerged from BRICS: achieving the right balance
               between trade, defence capability and diplomacy is a vital area of policy for every nation.

                     “.. the nature of American foreign policy is crucial for all of us. Whichever way we look at the
                     problems of the world, the question stays fundamental. What do the Americans mean by
                     leadership? In US foreign policy more than that of any other country, the tension between
                     idealism and realism is continuous and striking.”
                     (“The Search for Peace” Douglas Hurd, 1997)
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               07/07/2025                                                                                                                                   Richard Hooke 2025
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