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The UK Defence Industry in the 21  Century
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                                            The Five Forces of Americanisation

               Background and Purpose


               Nearly  20  years  ago,  as  head  of  PwC’s  global  Aerospace  &
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               Defence practice, I published a paper exploring the issues likely
               to  shape  the  future  of  the  defence  industry  and  the
               implications  for  contractors.  Unsurprisingly,  America’s
               continuing  dominance,  its  commitment  to  “full  spectrum”
               superiority,  was  central,  as  was  its  willingness  to  spend  far
               more on defence than anyone else. In 2005, it spent as much
               on defence as the rest of the world put together.

               We discussed our findings with clients and presented them at
               events across the world: from Europe, the USA and Canada to
               much of the Global South, from Sao Paulo and Pretoria to Seoul
               and Singapore.
               A  series  of  lectures  on  the  UK  Defence  Academy/Cranfield
               University  MDA  programme  followed:  exploring  how  the
               principles of business and finance (notably the behaviour of
               capital markets) influenced and, at times, supplanted defence
               and security policy.
               When envisioning the future environment for defence contractors, it was clear that its shape would
               be defined by America. Even without the seismic impact of financial crisis, war, disease, food insecurity
               and climate change, the world’s defence industry seemed likely to be dominated by a process of
               “Americanisation”. Less obvious then was the impetus now provided by the fascination of dealmaking,
               given credibility by financial markets and replacing the search for common ground and mutual aid in
               international diplomacy.
                                             Looking into the Future in 2005

                                                 Two extreme scenarios
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                           “The Defence Industry in the 21  Century: Thinking Global or Thinking American”

































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               07/07/2025                                                                                                                                   Richard Hooke 2025
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