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The UK Defence Industry in the 21  Century
                                                                        st
                                            The Five Forces of Americanisation

               Issues for the UK Government

               In  the  absence  of  any  concerted  intervention  from  government  to  adjust  or  divert  the  forces  of
               “Americanisation“, the evidence suggests that this will continue to impair the UK’s ability both to act
               unilaterally when necessary to protect the nation and also to influence world affairs through forceful
               diplomacy. It will certainly damage its potential to create jobs and technology and to “ensure that (it)
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               does not fail to secure its rightful share of this valuable commercial market" . At a time of increased
               spending on defence worldwide, the UK should seek to maximise the unique strength of its market
               position astride the Atlantic. This is, after all, consistent with a new US defence policy that envisages
               an independent European security framework whilst still enabling some level of control and economic
               benefit to remain with the USA.
               One senses that the new US administration is still considering how best to apply an America First
               doctrine in practice. The transatlantic UK defence industry, operating between the EU and the United
               States,  could provide a necessary “bridge”.
               In doing so, the connected nature of defence, trade and diplomacy has become clear. This connection
               has been reinforced by the use of Coercive Dealmaking, now seemingly in concert with military force,
               as a form of power projection. This suggests that the UK government must act with consistency and
               with the right professional or functional specialist support across departments. It seems unlikely,
               culture change or not, that the MoD will be able to deliver One Defence alone.
               For the UK government, One Defence suggests that three main areas of policy stand out :

               1. Controlling Intellectual Property (“IP”)
                  As Ukraine’s fighters have found, technology is a major factor in winning a war. Much can be
                  achieved using the stimulus that war brings to a nation’s ability to innovate, to extemporise and to
                  optimise the use of even well-used weapons systems. Ukrainian warfighters, along with, for many
                  years, their counterparts in South Korea and Israel (and, indeed, in the US and UK), know that
                  warfighting fuels ingenuity. Even in supply, as the performance of UK procurement’s response to
                  Urgent Operational Requirements (“UOR”). The control and use of technology is, however, a major
                  advantage. This is why the USA is so disciplined in its acquisition and control of defence and security
                  technologies. While it encourages Europe to stand alone in providing for its self-defence, the US
                  retains control of much of the technology required fully to achieve this.
                  For  the  UK,  its  status  as  a  European  country  operating  independently  of  the  EU  may  offer  a
                  distinctive opportunity to project its power with greater freedom.
                  i.  Eliminating the cost and inefficiencies of US International Traffic in Arms Regulations (“ITAR”).

                       The  sheer  volume  of  commercial  relationships  between  UK  and  US  defence  contractors
                       highlights the significance of this impediment to transatlantic defence business: in frustrating
                       a company’s attempts to integrate defence capabilities across the Atlantic, it inflates margins,
                       stifles innovation and stunts growth.
                       A UK ITAR “waiver” has long been discussed between successive US and UK governments but
                       without conclusion. It has to date focused on the countries’ ability to operate jointly as an
                       effective  coalition  force  and  the  conflict  in  Ukraine  had  suggested  that  this  remains  an
                       important factor. However, it is now also an important economic issue, especially when a shift
                       in European procurement policy to limit or curtail buying US equipment has been signalled.
                       ITAR will then place US defence company revenues at risk at a time when the UK, as well as
                       Europe, is significantly increasing its defence expenditure. It will also, especially following the
                       manner of  Cobham’s sale and  break-up,  seem  likely  to  frustrate  any  future M&A  activity
                       between the US and UK companies.



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               07/07/2025                                                                                                                                   Richard Hooke 2025
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