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The UK Defence Industry in the 21  Century
                                                                        st
                                            The Five Forces of Americanisation

                                management regime; composition of the shareholder base (including so-called
                                “activist” investors or hedge funds)
                      ▪  Overseas trade
                               market intelligence
                               priority campaigns, trade negotiations
                               countertrade or offset policy, obligations/opportunities, international partnering
                                options
                               cross-government departmental support requirements (FCDO, Treasury, Export
                                Finance, MoD, Business & Trade, Science & Technology, Justice & Home Office)
                            *At the date of completing this paper (April 2025), the current use of share buybacks to
                            increase shareholder value will be of particular interest to a British government keen to
                            invest in future growth. This should be the focus for an informed, insightful discussion

                                           Company       Amount       Timing
                                           Rolls-Royce   £1,000 million   February to end 2025
                                           BAE Systems   £1,500 million   Aug 2023 to July 2025
                                           QinetiQ       £250 million   2024 to 2026
                                           Chemring      £90 million   Aug 2023 to May 2024/
                                                                      Feb 2025 to 2027
                                           Babcock Int’l   £150 million   2023 to 2025

                       At a time when defence spending is increasing worldwide, can the government consider better
                       investment opportunities for future growth and improving share price performance?

                 iii.   Using procurement as a strategic tool
                       In its Defence Industrial Strategy Statement of Intent published in December 2024, the new
                       UK government literally rewrote the rules for defence procurement, aligning the country’s
                       security and economic priorities.
                           The aim of the Government’s new Defence Industrial Strategy is to make sure the
                           imperatives of national security and a high-growth economy are aligned …
                           Prioritise UK businesses: We will examine how best to prioritise and promote UK
                           based businesses for defence investment without losing the benefits of
                           competition, including in those areas of the defence sector that present the
                           greatest opportunities for UK economic growth and competitive advantage,
                           including in our strong clean and emerging technological sector. We will reform
                           procurement to reduce waste, leverage inward investment, promote UK leadership
                           in related sectors and technologies, and boost sovereign defence industrial capacity
                           to create good jobs and grow UK exports.
                           (Defence Industrial Strategy - Statement of Intent, 2 December 2024)
                       The termination of “competition first” represented a major change in defence procurement
                       enabling pricing and supply arrangements to be attuned to the level of commoditisation or
                       differentiation in the market. The approach set out in the government’s Statement of Intent
                       provides MoD Defence Equipment & Support (“DES”) with the means to direct collaboration
                       and  foster  valuable  supplier  relationships  and  investment  and,  in  particular,  to  adopt
                       transparent, effective and efficient practices in circumstances where there is a single supplier
                       source. Recognising too, that a single source (especially a prime contractor) will develop or
                       acquire access to distinctive foreign intelligence in specific export markets.
                 iv.   Providing discipline and clarity on the conditions, dependencies and limitations that will
                       affect  potential  mergers  and  acquisitions  and  alliances;  including  developing  a  “fit  and
                       proper” test to evaluate the suitability of bidders as a first step.

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               07/07/2025                                                                                                                                   Richard Hooke 2025
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