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◂ ◂ ◂  From the Past to the Present                  ▸ ▸ ▸

                  Who: Bounded rationality and satisficing                        Why: His work in bounded rationality helps
                  are the work of Herbert A. Simon, who won   When faced with too   us make sense of how managers can behave
                  a Nobel Prize in economics for his work on   many choices, we    rationally and still make satisfactory decisions,
                   decision making.                          SATISFICE!           even given the limits of their capacity to pro-
                  What: His primary concern was how people                        cess information.
                  use logic and psychology to make choices and proposed that   If your professor has assigned this, go to the Assignments
                  individuals were limited in their ability to “grasp the present   section of mymanagementlab.com to complete these dis-
                  and anticipate the future.” This bounded rationality made it   cussion questions.
                  difficult for them to “achieve the best possible decisions,” but
                  they made “good enough” or “satisficing” choices. 14    Talk About It 1: Is satisficing settling for second best?
                  How: Simon’s important contributions to management think-  Discuss.
                  ing stemmed from his belief that understanding organizations      Talk About It 2: How does knowing about bounded
                  meant studying the complex network of decisional processes     rationality help managers be better decision makers?
                  that were inherent.

                         •  Most managerial decisions don’t fit the assumptions of perfect rationality, but can still be
                             influenced by (1) the organization’s culture, (2) internal politics, (3) power considerations,
                             and (4) a phenomenon called:

                        escalation of commitment An increased commitment to a

                        previous decision despite evidence that it may have been wrong.                       15

                         •  Why would anyone—especially managers—escalate commitment to a bad decision?

                             —    Hate to admit that initial decision may have been flawed.
                             —
                                  Don’t want to search for new alternatives.
                3          Intuition and Managerial Decision Making






                                When deciding yay or nay on new shoe styles, Diego Della Valle, chairman of Tod’s luxury
                                   shoe empire, doesn’t use common decision-making tools like focus groups or poll test-
                                      ing. Nope . . . he wears the shoes for a few days. If they’re not to his liking, his verdict:
                                        No! His intuitive decision approach has helped make
                                         Tod’s a successful multinational company.                     16

                         Smalik/Fotolia

                              •  intuitive decision making—making decisions on the basis of experience, feelings, and
                                  accumulated judgment

                                  —    Described as “unconscious reasoning.” 17
                                  —    Five different aspects of intuition: See Exhibit 4–7. 18



                Almost half of managers rely on intuition more often than

                formal analysis to make decisions about their companies.                                         19



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