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would become 2 new dollars an hour, and so on. This would bring the overall U.S.
                                                                                         The real wage is the wage rate divided
             price level back to about what it was when John F. Kennedy was president.
                                                                                         by the price level.
               So would everyone be richer as a result because prices would be only one-seventh as
                                                                                         Real income is income divided by the
             high? Of course not. Prices would be lower, but so would wages and incomes in general.
                                                                                         price level.
             If you cut a worker’s wage to one-seventh of its previous value, but also cut all prices to
                                                                                         The inflation rate is the percent change
             one-seventh of their previous level, the worker’s real wage—the wage rate divided by the
                                                                                         per year in a price index—typically the
             price level—doesn’t change. In fact, bringing the overall price level back to what it was
                                                                                         consumer price index.
             during the Kennedy administration would have no effect on overall purchasing power,
             because doing so would reduce income exactly as much as it reduced prices. Conversely,                    Section 3 Measurement of Economic Performance
             the rise in prices that has actually taken place since the early 1960s hasn’t made America
             poorer, because it has also raised incomes by the same amount: real income—income
             divided by the price level—hasn’t been affected by the rise in overall prices.
               The moral of this story is that the level of prices doesn’t matter: the United States
             would be no richer than it is now if the overall level of prices was still as low as it was in
             1961; conversely, the rise in prices over the past 45 years hasn’t made us poorer.
             . . . But the Rate of Change of Prices Does

             The conclusion that the level of prices doesn’t matter might seem to imply that the in-
             flation rate doesn’t matter either. But that’s not true.
               To see why, it’s crucial to distinguish between the level of prices and the inflation rate.
             In the next module, we will discuss precisely how the level of prices in the economy is
             measured using price indexes such as the consumer price index. For now, let’s look at
             the inflation rate, the percent increase in the overall level of prices per year. The infla-
             tion rate is calculated as follows:

                       Inflation rate =  Price level in year 2 − Price level in year 1  × 100
                                             Price level in year 1

             Figure 14.1 highlights the difference between the price level and the inflation rate in
             the United States since 1969, with the price level measured along the left vertical axis
             and the inflation rate measured along the right vertical axis. In the 2000s, the overall



                figure  14.1

                The Price Level versus the        Price                                                 Inflation
                Inflation Rate, 1969–2009         level                                                   rate
                Over the past 40 years, the price level has  250                                       16%
                continuously gone up. But the inflation rate—            Inflation rate                14
                the rate at which consumer prices are
                                                    200                                                12
                rising—has had both ups and downs.
                Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics.                                                    10
                                                    150                                     Price level  8
                                                                                                       6
                                                    100                                                4
                                                                                                       2
                                                     50                                                0
                                                                                                       –2
                                                                                                       –4
                                                     1969 1970    1980        1990       2000       2009

                                                                                                   Year




                                                                      module  14     Inflation: An Overview     135
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