Page 113 - NGTU_paper_withoutVideo
P. 113

Modern Geomatics Technologies and Applications

          patterns as well as visualizing the variations over space and time are also the matter of issue. Digital images obtained from
          smartphone-based dynamic maps include chronological histories of traffic congestion and facilitate different spatio-temporal
          analysis.
               In the present study, Tehran as the capital of Iran with more than 9 million population as the 25  most populous and the
                                                                                            th
          27  largest city in the world with more than 2.5 million vehicles traveling through its network will be studied. In recent years,
            th
          new traffic solutions have been proposed by urban planners in order to reduce traffic congestion and its negative effects. Such
          as Congestion Charging Zone (CCZ) Air Pollution Control Zone (APCZ) in which, movement of vehicles with no permission is
          prohibited or restricted on weekdays during certain hours (except for police, emergency vehicles, public transport, and licensed
          vehicles). This study aims to employ traffic images collected by smartphone-based applications and conduct spatio-temporal
          analyses to evaluate the congestion pattern over a metropolitan area. Primarily, the spatial autocorrelations of traffic congestion,
          using Moran's I indicator  will be investigated. In the  next step, Havmoler diagrams  will be employed  for the first time in
          congestion analyses using voluminous data to explore the start time and duration of congestion within the time of study over the
          study area on weekdays and weekends

          2.  Data Preparation and Congestion Index
               Google Maps services allow to display current traffic conditions as well as chronological traffic state. Such applications
          make traffic history data available to users and developers for different days and hours of the week, and update traffic conditions
          over 15- minute intervals. Traffic maps are coded in a variety of colours, including green, orange, red and dark-red pixels on the
          grid representing smooth, acceptable, slightly heavy, and heavy traffic conditions, respectively. Red and dark-red pixels are
          important because they reflect poor traffic conditions (low traffic speed and high travel time).Considering the dynamic nature of
          traffic condition, it is essential to identify the areas that continuously experience congestion. In the present study historic traffic
          image data within 15-min intervals during weekdays and weekends from 18th April 2018-20th June 2018 have been collected.
          Accordingly, 96 images during 24-hours of the day resulting in 7200 traffic data images have been obtained for the whole time
          of study.  According to administrative division, Tehran has been divided into 116 districts on  which, congestion values on
          freeways and arterial within 15-min intervals will be aggregated over. The congestion index in this study is the ratio of the total
          number of red and dark-red pixels to the total number of pixels of each district within each 15-min interval. Also, due to the fact
          that the travel pattern and consequently, the traffic congestion significantly differ on working and non-working days, so the
          analyses will be conducted separately on weekdays and weekends as well as within CCZ, APCZ and out of both borders.

          3.  Spatial Analyses and Space-Time Analyses
               Geographical areas often show specific spatial patterns. When dealing with spatial data, the value of a variable at a specific
          location correlates with the values in proximate locations [14]. This phenomenon called spatial autocorrelation which can be
          evaluated by various statistical indicators all based on the modelling of local relationships like proximity which can be measured
          by spatial weight matrix. Among the indicators of spatial autocorrelation, Moran’s I can be considered as one of the most
          frequently-used indicators. For any zone or area like i, the local Moran’s I statistic for any variable like x is defined as (1):

                                                          =    ∑         (1)
                                                              
                                                                
                                                                        
                                                          

               Where zi and zj are the standardized values of x in zone i and zone j, and wij is the spatial weight matrix between zone i
          and other zones like j, which quantifies the existing spatial relationships among zone i and other zones like j. Equation (1) is
          used to draw a conclusion about whether the variable x is clustered or not. A positive value for I indicates that a feature has
          neighbouring features with similarly high or low attribute values; this feature is part of a cluster. A negative value for I indicates
          that a feature has neighbouring features with dissimilar values; this feature is an outlier. In either instance, the p-value must be
          small enough for the cluster or outlier to be considered statistically significant. In the present study, local Moran’s I is applied to
          examine the spatial dependency of traffic congestion for the time of study Accordingly, the null hypothesis postulates that there
          is  no  significant  difference  between  the  distributions  of  the  traffic  congestion,  while  the  alternative  hypothesis  proves  a
          significant difference of at least one of the samples. The result of this test indicates the rejection or acceptance of the null
          hypothesis in the 95% confidence level. This is required to prove the correlation of congestion values during the given time of
          study.
               Although the spatial nature of traffic parameters highlights the key role of spatial analyses, most traffic data are associated
          with a complex dynamic behaviour over space and time. That is since traffic situations indicates significant variations in space
          and time, understanding the real behaviour can be conducted through a spatiotemporal analysis. Particularly dealing with large
          space-time  datasets  has  always  been  the  challenge  to  researchers  and  therefore  introducing  the  methods  to  facilitate
          comprehending and visualizing the events and explore the latent patterns in a dataset can be appropriate. During the past years
          different visualization techniques have been introduces particularly for large datasets [32-35]. A Hovmöller diagram is a common
          way of plotting meteorological data to highlight the behaviour of waves, particularly tropical waves. The axes of Hovmöller

                                                                                                               2
   108   109   110   111   112   113   114   115   116   117   118