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Modern Geomatics Technologies and Applications



                Flood Risk Mapping Using by GIS-based Multi-Criteria Decision-Making
                                         (A Case Study: Miandoab Basin)


                                            1
                Mohammad Sadegh Tahmouresi , Mohammad Hossein Niksokhan , Iman Zandi , Mohammad Hasan
                                                                                       1
                                                                          1*
                                                                1
                                                        Goudarzi

                1  Department of Environmental Eng., School of Environment, College of Eng., University of Tehran
               2  Department of GIS, School of Surveying and Geospatial Eng., College of Eng., University of Tehran
                                         Corresponding Author: niksokhan@ut.ac.ir

         Abstract: In recent years, floods have affected Iran and caused significant damage to various sectors. Having the right
         information on flood-prone areas helps prevent, control and manage this crisis. In the present study, a combination of a
         Geographic Information System (GIS), Satellite Imagery, and Fuzzy Analytical Hierarchical Process (AHP) has been used
         to zoning flood risk in the Miandoab basin. The weighting method results showed that Proximity to Rivers and Rainfall
         are  the  most  important  criteria  in  flood  risk  zoning,  respectively.  The  results  of  flood  risk  zoning  showed  that  the
         southwestern areas have a high potential for flooding.

         KEYWORDS: Flood Risk Mapping, Miandoab, GIS, Fuzzy AHP.

          1.  Introduction

          One of the natural and catastrophic dangers is floods, which cause significant damage to people's lives and property [1]. Floods
          result from significant rainfall and snowmelt that creates an overflow situation in the river and temporarily stagnates in the lands
          along the river [2]. Floods are a complex phenomenon, which is why researchers are conducting extensive research in diverse
          areas to manage, control, and prevent potential damage [3]. There are several natural and human factors involved, which can
          lead to a catastrophic flood. Recently, climate change has become an important factor in severe flood events[3].

          Charlton et al. [4] argued that flood risk in an area could be significantly affected by climate change, and it possibly can change
          land-use patterns. Furthermore, it creates an impenetrable surface, which may increase the flow rate. In addition to climate, the
          various factors that depend on the occurrence of floods such as elevation characteristics of an area, slope, proximity to the main
          rivers, soil texture, topographic curvature [5]. According to Opolot [6], between 2000 and 2008, about 100 million people were
          affected by severe floods  worldwide. These events are more concentrated in developing countries,  where urbanization and
          civilization  along  rivers  are  growing  rapidly.  Deforestation  to  establish  settlements  and  river  seizure  are  considered  flood
          accelerator factors [7].
          From the last two decades, various methods including hierarchical analysis process [5], fuzzy logic and genetic algorithm [5],
          fuzzy theory [8], a hydrological forecasting system, a decision tree model, Multi-Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) and spatial
          techniques have been developed to study flood risk. In recent years, Geomatics, Geospatial Information System (GIS), and
          Remote  Sensing  and  their  integration  with  MCDM  have  been  widely  used  in  crisis  management.  Chakraborty  and
          Mukhopadhyay  [9]  proposed  a  combination  of  Analytical  Hierarchical  Process  (AHP)  and  GIS  to  flood  zoning  in  India.
          Pourghasemi et al. [10] Used a combination of machine learning methods and satellite imagery to flood risk mapping. Panahi et
          al. [11] have used integrating an improved analytical network process with statistical models to the flood zoning process in Iran.


          2.  Methodology
          In the present study, to determine flood-prone areas in the Miandoab basin, a combination of GIS, satellite images, and Multi-
          Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) has been used. For this purpose, by studying previous research and surveys of experts,
          appropriate criteria for determining flood-prone areas were discovered. Then, by using GIS technology and Remote Sensing,
          decision criteria maps were prepared. In the next step, the weights of the decision criteria were calculated by the fuzzy AHP and
          matrix of pairwise comparisons completed by experts. Finally, by considering criteria weights and criteria maps prepared by







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