Page 54 - UUBO PE Summit 2020 - Materials
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4.  Headwinds: How Illiquidity Holds Economy Down









                         GDP 2018                 Money (M2) 2018               2018 Exchange Rate              External Liquidity 2018


                      China      13.61              China   199.1
                       India  2.73                                                Angola            52.4      Saudi Arabia       65.1
                                                  Malaysia  125.0                 Turkey        32.4               Algeria    48.4
                      Brazil  1.87
                                                  Morocco   118.7                Ethiopia      14.9               Malaysia  28.6
                    Russian…  1.66
                                                     Brazil  96.3                  Brazil      14.5               Russian…  28.3             Reduced external liquidity from
                   Indonesia  1.04
                Saudi Arabia  0.78             United Arab…  86.0                Russian…      7.4             United Arab…  24.0            weak exports weakens growth,
                                                                                Indonesia      6.4
                     Turkey   0.77         Egypt, Arab Rep.  81.8                                                   China   23.3
                                                                                   Ghana       5.4                                           tightens money, credit, equity, and
                 United Arab…  0.41                Algeria  79.1                                                  Morocco   20.6
                     Nigeria  0.40                   India  73.5                  Algeria      5.1                  Brazil  20.1             forex conditions and triggers
                 South Africa  0.37                                                 India      5.0        Egypt, Arab Rep.  16.7
                                               South Africa  73.1               Tanzania       1.6                                           double-digit inflation, interest
                    Malaysia  0.35                                                                                   India  14.6
                                                   Russian…  59.1                 Nigeria      0.1                                           rates, and multiple exchange rates.
                 Egypt, Arab…  0.25                                                                                Angola   14.6
                                                   Turkey   54.0              United Arab…     0.0
                     Algeria  0.18                                           Saudi Arabia      0.0             South Africa  14.1                                    .
                    Morocco   0.12                  Sudan   43.3                                                   Turkey   12.1
                                                                          Egypt, Arab Rep.  0.1
                     Angola   0.11               Indonesia  38.8                                                 Indonesia  11.6                       Nigeria must Learn from Peers
                                                                              South Africa  0.7
                      Kenya   0.09                  Kenya   37.5                   Kenya  2.0                      Nigeria  10.8
                    Ethiopia  0.08                  Angola  30.3                   China   2.1                      Ghana   9.6
                      Ghana   0.07
                                                    Ghana   27.4                 Morocco  3.2                       Kenya   9.3
                   Tanzania   0.06
                                                   Nigeria  23.5                 Malaysia  6.2                   Tanzania   8.8
                      Sudan   0.04                                                                                Ethiopia
                                                           0            500              20   0  20  40  60                 4.7
                            0             20
                                                                                                                          0       50      100
                                                                                   % Change Per Year
                                                      M2 as % of GDP                                                Foreign Reserves as % of GDP
                         US'Trillions
          07
   49   50   51   52   53   54   55   56   57   58   59