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NorthAmOil                                    COMMENTARY                                          NorthAmOil




       Fossil fuels’ future





       role in the spotlight







       The future role of fossil fuels in a decarbonising

       world was being examined at the CERAWeek by

       IHS Markit conference this week



        GLOBAL           THE future of fossil fuels was up for debate as
                         the CERAWeek by IHS Markit conference was
       WHAT:             hosted virtually this week for the first time. The
       The future role of fossil   event normally takes place in Houston, and was
       fuels was being examined   cancelled last year as the coronavirus (COVID-
       at CERAWeek this week.  19) spread globally, having been set to take place
                         at the same time that the outbreak was declared
       WHY:              to be a pandemic in March 2020.
       The energy transition   Much has therefore changed since the last
       is picking up pace, and   CERAWeek took place, in 2019. Not only is
       there is some debate   the world trying to overcome the pandemic –
       over the role oil and gas   with post-pandemic recovery a major topic at                   CERAWeek was held
       will play.        this year’s conference – but there is also a new   “There just isn’t yet enough renewable energy   virtually this year.
                         US President with different priorities as far as  to fuel all of the energy that people need. That’s
       WHAT NEXT:        energy goes.                         in developed countries,” Amazon Web Services’
       Some players appear   US President Joe Biden wasted no time in tak-  CEO, Andy Jassy, who will succeed Jeff Bezos as
       set to make a more   ing steps to show that tackling climate change  CEO of the entire company this summer, told
       concerted shift away from   would be one of his major goals, in marked  the conference.
       fossil fuels than others.  contrast with his predecessor, Donald Trump,   Jassy said his company had announced its
                         whose priorities were US energy independence  goal for net-zero emissions at a time when it had
                         – and indeed energy dominance.       not entirely figured out how to achieve this tar-
                           Changing geopolitics were discussed by  get – which can also be said of other companies
                         panels and individual speakers, with various  and countries adopting similar goals.
                         challenges outlined. However, US Special Pres-  And if there cannot be enough renewable
                         idential Envoy for Climate John Kerry said on  energy to meet all demand, that brings fossil
                         the second day of the event that he believed the  fuels back into play, at least for a number of years
                         US could compartmentalise its geopolitical ten-  to come.
                         sions with China to work together climate plans
                         aimed at limiting global temperature increases.  Piece of the puzzle
                                                              Some differences of opinion emerged at this
                         Centre stage                         year’s CERAWeek about what sort of future oil
                         This was one of numerous discussions about the  and gas will have in this context. Some, such
                         energy transition and combating climate change  as the CEOs of BP and Royal Dutch Shell,
                         – topics which took centre stage during this  talked up their efforts to move away from oil
                         year’s CERAWeek, having been gaining promi-  and gas.
                         nence in recent years.                “We’ve been an oil and gas company for 112
                           In 2021, though, after so many countries,  years, and I think this is a moment where we
                         companies and regions have adopted decar-  do have to reinvent the company,” BP’s CEO,
                         bonisation targets since the last CERAWeek  Bernard Looney, said. “We decided to really
                         was held, it was seen as more important than  embrace that energy transition, more as a mas-
                         ever. However, even as they acknowledged the  sive opportunity and not look at it as some sort
                         importance of decarbonisation, many speakers  of threat to our core business.”
                         stressed that the path to net zero greenhouse   Shell’s CEO, Ben van Beurden, for his part,
                         gas (GHG) emissions would be a difficult one,  said he believed his company’s oil output had
                         and maintained that there would be a need for  peaked in 2019 and that targeting custom-
                         investment in fossil fuels for years to come.  ers seeking to reduce their own emissions



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