Page 10 - GLNG Week 44 2020
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GLNG                                          COMMENTARY                                               GLNG








































                         to RUB484.4bn ($6.1bn), but expenses also fell  complete at the end of September, up from 21%
                         almost 18%, to RUB388.3bn. Novatek’s EBITDA  at the end of June, Gyetvay said, with the first
                         was down 21.4% at RUB265.8bn in the nine-  train roughly 39% complete. Novatek does not
                         month period, but was only 10.2% lower in  expect any delays in the delivery of LNG topside
                         the third quarter at RUB93.9bn. It blamed the  modules, as around 7,000 workers have been
                         weaker numbers on low prices, ruble devalua-  mobilised at module construction sites in China.
                         tion and other factors outside its control.  “These yards are producing at full capacity
                           The company’s gas production was up 1.5%  today,” Gyetvay said, adding that the first mod-
                         at 56.71bn cubic metres in January to Septem-  ule for the first concrete gravity-based structure
                         ber and up 4.5% in the third quarter. Gas sales  (GBS) is expected to arrive at Novatek’s yard in
                         in Russia were a source of support, with both  Murmansk in September 2021. First gas is still
                         volumes and prices holding firm. Novatek sells  on track to occur in 2023 as planned, he said.
                         its gas to industrial customers in Russia at partly   “We also see no delays in launching the next
                         regulated tariffs.                   trains on GBS 2 and GBS 3 in 2024 and 2026,
                           Novatek expects to outperform the Russian  he said.
                         gas industry and deliver a 2% growth in gas out-
                         put this year, while Russia as a whole is due to see  Smaller projects
                         a 9-10% decline. Despite some LNG spot cargo  Novatek had also hoped to commission a fourth  If Arctic Cascade
                         cancellations in the second quarter, Novatek’s  0.9mn tpy train at Yamal LNG by the end of last
                         flagship 16.5mn tonne per year (tpy) Yamal  year, but its launch has been repeatedly pushed   performs as
                         LNG operated at 113% capacity in the first nine  back. Despite its small size, the train is a key   expected, Novatek
                         months of the year, according to Gyetvay.  project, as it will employ Novatek’s proprietary
                                                              Arctic Cascade liquefaction technology for the   will use the
                         Export expansion                     first time.
                         Novatek’s main focus is on its next major export   “We plan to complete the construction works   technology at
                         venture Arctic LNG-2, due on stream in 2023.  at Train 4 at Yamal LNG by the end of the year
                         That project would boast an even larger capacity  but will start the facility’s commissioning over   another, 5mn tpy,
                         of 19.8mn tpy, with 80% of this supply heading  the upcoming weeks,” Gyetvay said.  export plant.
                         to Asia-Pacific markets, according to Gyetvay.  If Arctic Cascade performs as expected,
                           The company recently ordered some 15 LNG  Novatek will use the technology at another, 5mn
                         carriers (LNGCs) from Russia’s Zvezda shipyard  tpy, export plant, known as Obsky LNG. The
                         to serve Arctic LNG-2, along with a further six  company plans to develop Obsky LNG without
                         from South Korea’s Daewoo Shipbuilding &  foreign partners, but deferred taking an FID
                         Marine Engineering (DSME). Russian author-  from 2020 until 2021, in light of market condi-
                         ities had originally wanted Novatek to order all  tions and delays at Yamal LNG’s fourth train.
                         the vessels domestically, but the company argued   Pre-front-end engineering and design
                         that doing so could have held up progress at Arc-  (FEED) work on Obsky LNG is still ongoing,
                         tic LNG-2.                           and Gyetvay said the company was considering
                           Construction on the project was 27%  some changes to the project’s parameters.™



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