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NorthAmOil                                   COMMENTARY                                          NorthAmOil


                                                                                                  Shell had initially
                                                                                                  planned to retain its
                                                                                                  stake in the Deer Park
                                                                                                  refinery, but changed
                                                                                                  its mind following an
                                                                                                  unsolicited offer from
                                                                                                  Pemex.























                         for refined products took a hit during the coro-  to be the most profitable of Pemex’s refineries.
                         navirus (COVID-19) pandemic, and while a  The state-owned company has seen losses in
                         recovery is now underway, it is not anticipated  its domestic refining business, which is made
                         to return to pre-pandemic levels until at least  up of six plants in Mexico and a seventh under
                         2022. Indeed, it was amid the fall in demand for  construction. Deer Park will be the first refinery
                         refined products that Shell decided to shutter  that Pemex will solely own and operate overseas.
                         Convent last year.                    This week, Lopez Obrador said he expected
                                                              Mexico to recover its investment in Shell’s Deer
                         Unsolicited offer                    Park stake during the next 2-3 years.
                         It is worth noting that Shell had initially included   “We were missing 200,000 bpd to reach
                         the Deer Park refinery among the six plants it  self-sufficiency. Our options were restarting
                         planned to retain after offloading its non-core  a refining train at Cangrejera [petrochemical
                         refining operations. However, the super-major  complex] or buying Deer Park,” Lopez Obrador
                         said this week that it had received an unsolicited  said. “There are no losses.”
                         offer from Pemex. This appears to have been
                         favourable enough for Shell to agree to transfer  What next?
                         its stake in Deer Park, giving Pemex full owner-  The flurry of developments related to Shell’s
                         ship of the refinery.                refining portfolio illustrate that despite the
                           The consideration for this transaction is  impact of the pandemic and longer-term uncer-
                         $596mn, consisting of a combination of cash  tainty related to the energy transition, interest in
                         and debt, plus the value of hydrocarbon inven-  buying refinery assets remains considerable.
                         tory, Shell said. The super-major will retain its   The Vertex transaction is considerably   Lopez Obrador
                         chemicals facility at the site, and said it would  smaller – the Mobile refinery has a capacity of
                         continue working with Pemex in an “integrated  90,000 bpd and is being sold for $75mn plus the   said he expected
                         way”.                                cost of hydrocarbon inventory. Nonetheless, the   Mexico to recover
                           The transaction comes not long after Mexi-  deal marks a step forward in Shell’s plans for its
                         can President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador,  refining portfolio.           its investment in
                         whose time in office has been characterised by   Meanwhile, Convent could fetch a higher
                         energy nationalism, criticised the Deep Park  price. According to Reuters, ACER initially  Shell’s Deer Park
                         partnership, saying it had not been of any ben-  offered $1.75bn for the 211,146 bpd plant,
                         efit to Mexico.                      though this was rejected. ACER is reported to   stake during the
                           “Since it was built, there have been no ben-  have followed this up with a bid of $1.25bn.  next 2-3 years.
                         efits for Mexico, barely the processing of   “Shell considers a wide range of qualifications
                         Mexican crude,” Lopez Obrador said during  and factors including a prospective buyer’s abil-
                         a press conference in early May. He also said  ity and experience to operate complex manufac-
                         that no profits from the joint venture had been  turing assets safely,” a Shell spokesman, Curtis
                         returned to Pemex since the partnership with  Smith, was quoted by Reuters as saying.
                         Shell was established in 1993, as they had all   ACER, for its part, has said that if Shell will
                         been re-invested.                    not sell its Convent facility to it, the company
                           Pemex sells Maya heavy crude to Deer Park,  will build a new 300,000 bpd refinery nearby.
                         which has the capacity to process up to 340,000  This claim further illustrates the fact that oper-
                         barrels per day (bpd) of oil, through a long-term  ating US refineries is currently considered an
                         supply contract. However, Deer Park is thought  attractive option by a number of companies.™



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