Page 117 - Ray Dalio - Principles
P. 117

are and how they are being played out. For example, people
                       tend to embrace stories about how their own country is moral
                       and  the  rival  country  is  not,  when  most  of  the  time  these

                       countries  have  different  interests  that  they  are  trying  to
                       maximize.  The  best  behaviors  one  can  hope  for  come  from
                       leaders who can weigh the benefits of cooperation, and who
                       have long enough time frames that they can see how the gifts
                       they give this year may bring them benefits in the future.

                          These  conflicts  of  vested  interests  don’t  just  play  out
                       internationally; it can also be nasty within countries. Finding

                       out  what’s  true  and  trying  to  do  what’s  in  everyone’s  best
                       interests is rare, though most policymakers pretend that’s what
                       they’re  doing.  More  typically,  they  act  in  support  of  their
                       constituents’  interests.  For  example,  representatives  of  those
                       with greater income will say higher taxes stifle growth while
                       representatives of those with less income will say the opposite.
                       It’s  hard  to  get  everyone  to  even  try  to  look  at  the  whole

                       picture objectively, let alone to operate in the interests of the
                       whole.

                          Nonetheless, I came to respect most of the policymakers I
                       worked with and to feel sorry for them because of the terrible
                       positions they were in. Most are highly principled people who
                       are forced to operate in unprincipled environments. The job of
                       a policymaker is challenging under the best of circumstances,

                       and  it’s  almost  impossible  during  a  crisis.  The  politics  are
                       horrendous and distortions and outright misinformation from
                       the media make things worse. A number of the policymakers I
                       met—including  Draghi,  de  Guindos,  Schäuble,  Bernanke,
                       Geithner,  Summers,  and  many  others—were  real  heroes,

                       meaning that they put others and the mission they committed
                       to above themselves. Unfortunately, most policymakers enter
                       their careers as idealists and leave disillusioned.

                          One of those heroes I have been fortunate enough to learn
                       from and, I hope, help is China’s Wang Qishan, who has been
                       a remarkable force for good for decades. To explain what he is
                       like  and  the  journey  that  took  him  to  the  top  of  China’s

                       leadership would take more of this book than I can spare. In
                       brief, Wang is a historian, a very high-level thinker, and a very
                       practical  man.  I  have  rarely  known  a  person  to  be  both
   112   113   114   115   116   117   118   119   120   121   122