Page 25 - Like No Business I Know
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Hypocritical Oaths

        responsibility to our parent company, Triskelion Inc. Our enterprise
        is  but  one  of  three;  the  others,  Triskelion  Health  Care  and  the
        Triskelion  Foundation,  work  synergistically  with  us  to  maintain  an
        acceptable level of profitability for our shareholders. You are familiar
        with the other branches of this corporation, I assume?”
          “Uh,  I  know  they  exist,  but  I’m  a  medical  researcher,  not  a
        businessman, Mr. Raven. What does that have to do with this crisis?”
          “Be patient, Dr. Dreyfus, and hear me out. Your future depends
        on it. Triskelion began fifteen years ago as a small for-profit health
        maintenance organization. At that time the demand was great for a
        medical services delivery system which could put a lid on escalating
        costs.  HMO’s  did  just  that,  providing  corporate  America  with  an
        alternative  to  expensive  private  doctors,  pharmacies  and  hospitals.
        Care was both rationalized and rationed, assuring that every patient
        but  the  most  vocal would  get  bogged  down  in  bureaucracy  before
        incurring  excessive  expense.  The  justification,  expressed  as  the
        ultimately  lower  cost  of  maintaining  health  compared  to  treating
        illness,  was  accepted  both  by  those  forced  to  use  HMO’s  and  the
        dwindling  number  of  government  overseers  of  medical  care.
        Enrollment  went  up,  and  with  it  profits.  This  much  even  a  non-
        economist should be able to understand.”
          “Well, yes, but—”
          Raven categorically dismissed objections with an impatient gesture.
          “One  thing  led  to  another.  Smaller  HMO’s  were  gobbled  up  by
        larger ones. Nonprofit HMO’s converted to for-profit. The increase
        in competition was offset by mushrooming demand. Economies of
        scale driven by capitation meant profits could continue to rise.  The
        poor,  the  weak,  the  sickly—all  were  excluded  wherever  possible,
        turned away by gatekeepers or the rising cost of enrollment. HMO’s
        have  become  a  very  big  business  in  this  country,  Dr.  Dreyfus.
        Triskelion  is  one  of  the  major  players,  and  its  management  saw
        something coming down the road: demand could not keep pace. The
        market  would  be  saturated  once  every  available  more-or-less  able-
        bodied  person  signed  up.  Then  the  shake-out  would  occur:  any
        HMO spending more than the minimum on its enrollees would face
        extinction. But the analysis of demand was subtler than that: taking
        into  account  demographics—the  passage  of  the  baby-boom
        generation—and  revised  life  expectancy  tables,  our  actuaries

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