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FIGURE 2 TOP DRIVERS FOR INVESTMENT IN NATURAL GAS AND/OR LNG


















                                                  this year. This comes amid uncertainty   cent, versus 34 per cent globally). This
                                                  around the oil price and a volatile   is because many companies in the
                                                  economic climate – the top barriers to   industry have now built financial
                                                  growth reported by more than 1,000   reserves that allow them to manoeuvre
                                                  survey respondents.              and invest in forging a long-term
                                                    Now in its tenth year, New Directions,   position, compared with the cash-
                                                  Complex Choices: The outlook for the oil   strapped days of the downturn.
                                                  and gas industry in 2020 assesses   Significantly, they are pursuing
                                                  industry sentiment, confidence, and   multiple routes including diversifying
                                                  priorities, and provides expert analysis   into renewable energy, decarbonising oil
                                                  of the key challenges and opportunities   and gas production, and loosening the
                                                  for the year ahead.              purse strings for low and zero carbon gas
                                                    Two thirds (66 per cent) of senior oil   projects such as hydrogen produced
                                                  and gas professionals globally are   from electrolysis and renewables, or
                                                  confident for industry growth in 2020,   from natural gas combined with carbon
                                                  down 10 percentage points from 2019.   capture and storage (CCS). For example,
                                                  Sentiment in the UK is the lowest, with   in the UK, a far greater proportion of
                                                  only 59 per cent expressing positivity.   respondents (29 per cent) view hydrogen
                                                  The most upbeat country is Brazil   as a priority for R&D and technology
                                                  where more than eight out of ten are   investment compared to globally (17 per
                                                  feeling buoyant about their growth   cent). This viewpoint has trebled since
                                                  prospects (84 per cent).         last year, up from just nine per cent.
                                                    Despite this weaker optimism,
                                                  industry leaders are making bold   What is clear from the forecasts
                    t’s a very interesting time to be in   decisions, building greater efficiencies
                    the oil and gas industry. Not only is   and rising to long-term challenges as   is that in order to resolve the
                    it demanding intellectually because   the world pivots toward a lower carbon   energy conundrum of how to
                    everybody is considering new   energy future. This confirms a new-  ensure a secure, affordable
                I directions and needs to make    found resilience to weathering an   supply of decarbonised energy,
                 complex choices that will have powerful   unpredictable and unprecedented
                 impacts for the longer term, but also   outlook. The lean profile which some   the industry will need to exploit
                 because we all must deliver annual   organisations have developed since the   the synergies between gas and
                 results, achieve our short-term business   downturn has allowed leaders to forge a   renewables, not choose one or
                 priorities, and keep the workforce   stronger and more sustainable position
                 focused and motivated.           as the energy transition progresses.  the other
                   New research published by DNV GL
                 reveals that optimism for growth in the   The decarb decade         Intriguingly, the study reveals that
                 oil and gas industry has weakened for   Our research shows that the sector has   nearly half (48 per cent) of total
                                                  placed incentives and initiatives to   participants believe gas and renewables
                                                  decarbonise at the centre of its agenda.   are competing against each other
                 FIGURE 1 EXTENT TO WHICH RESPONDENTS AGREE THAT GAS AND   This will undoubtedly remain a priority   (Figure 1).
                 RENEWABLES ARE COMPETING AGAINST EACH OTHER  in 2020 and beyond.    What is clear from the forecasts is that
                                                    Nearly three-quarters of those   in order to resolve the energy
                                                  questioned globally (71 per cent) expect   conundrum of how to ensure a secure,
                                                  to increase or maintain investment in   affordable supply of decarbonised
                                                  decarbonisation, rising sharply from 54   energy, the industry will need to exploit
                                                  per cent in 2019. While such spending   the synergies between gas and
                                                  intentions are slightly less pronounced   renewables, not choose one or the other.
                                                  in the UK (68 per cent), more      As part of the report, several industry
                                                  respondents see the energy transition   executives were interviewed. Sebastian
                                                  as a major driver of investment in   Koks Andreassen, CEO of INEOS Oil &
                                                  renewable and clean energy (44 per   Gas Scandinavia, said: “Simplistically,



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