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                                                                                                 u.s. news Diaranson 14 october 2020

                           Trump, Biden trips illustrate electoral college calculations



              (AP)  —  With  Election  $500,000 donation from bil-
            Day just three weeks away,  lionaire  former  New  York
            President  Donald  Trump  Mayor  Mike  Bloomberg  to
            and Democratic challeng-     increase Democratic turnout
            er Joe Biden concentrated  in Miami-Dade County.
            Tuesday  on  battleground  Trump  was  staging  an  eve-
            states  both  see  as  critical  ning  rally  in  Pennsylvania,
            to  clinching  an  Electoral  Biden's  native  state.  The
            College  victory,  tailoring  president  wants  to  hammer
            their  travel  to  best  moti-  home the claim that a Demo-
            vate voters who could cast  cratic  administration  could
            potentially  decisive  bal-  limit fracking in areas where
            lots.                        the  economy  is  heavily  de-
                                         pendent on energy.
            Biden  was  in  Florida  court-
            ing seniors, betting that a vot-  It's an effort to fire up a con-
            ing bloc that buoyed Trump  servative base that Trump will
            four  years  ago  has  become  have to turn out in droves to
            disenchanted with the White  secure the 270 electoral votes
            House's  handling  of  the  needed  to  retain  the  White
            coronavirus pandemic. It was  House.  The  president  also
            Biden's third visit to the state  campaigned in Sanford, Flor-
            in a month, after making tar-  ida, on Monday and will head
            geted  appeals  to  other  com-  back to the state on Friday.
            munities,  including  veterans  Campaign  travel  on  both
            and Latinos.                 sides comes against the back-  Trump has repeatedly stated,  election  without  holding  whiter and has lower median
                                         drop of a second day of Sen-  falsely, that Biden will outlaw  at  least  one  of  them.  Aides  incomes  and  lower  rates  of
            To  Trump,  "you’re  expend-  ate hearings to confirm Amy  fracking. Biden has proposed  have  concluded  that  Michi-  college-degree   attainment
            able,   you're   forgettable,  Coney  Barrett  to  the  Su-  only  barring  new  leases  on  gan  may  be  out  of  reach  than the rest of Pennsylvania.
            you’re  virtually  nobody,”  preme Court. Trump and top  federal  land,  a  fraction  of  amid the pandemic and that
            Biden said at a senior center  Republicans see a swift con-  U.S. fracking operations.  Trump faces a stubborn defi-  Given  that  his  local  support
            in Pembroke Pines, about 20  firmation just weeks after the  In a Democratic primary de-  cit  in  Wisconsin.  Even  if  he  was  so  strong  four  years,  it
            miles  (32  kilometers)  from  death of liberal Justice Ruth  bate  in  March,  Biden  mis-  wins  there,  though,  he  may  might  be  hard  to  find  addi-
            Fort Lauderdale.             Bader  Ginsburg  as  a  chance  stated his fracking policy, and  still  need  to  make  up  Elec-  tional  votes  to  make  up  for
            The  “only  senior  Donald  to energize conservatives.    his campaign quickly correct-  toral College ground if Biden  losses elsewhere, said former
            Trump seems to care about"                                ed that. Biden has otherwise  claims  Florida  or  the  tradi-  Rep.  Ryan  Costello,  a  Re-
            is himself, Biden added.     Biden's  campaign  believes  been consistent, going so far  tionally red state of Arizona.  publican  from  Democratic-
            Introducing  Biden,  Demo-   it  can  take  the  presidency  as to tell an anti-fracking ac-                        trending  Chester  County,
            cratic  Rep.  Debbie  Wasser-  without Florida's 29 elector-  tivist  that  he  “ought  to  vote  The  president’s  travel  this  southwest of Philadelphia.
            man Schultz noted that “nei-  al votes, but it wants to lock  for  somebody  else”  if  he  week reflects that bind. He's  “I  don’t  accept  the  premise
            ther  of  these  men  will  walk  up the state to pad a margin  wanted  an  immediate  frack-  visiting  Pennsylvania  and  that he will keep his deficit in
            into the White House with-   of  victory  over  Trump,  who  ing  ban.  Trump  also  claims  Florida  and  another  battle-  the suburbs to what it was, or
            out  the  blessing  of  Florida  has  for  months  questioned  that Biden’s plan to lead the  ground  state  he  likely  can’t  even similar in 2016," Costel-
            seniors.”                    the legitimacy of an election  U.S.  to  net-zero  emission  win  without  —  North  Car-  lo,  who  retired  from  Con-
                                         where many people will cast  of  carbon  pollution  by  2050  olina  —  as  well  as  those  he  gress in 2019, said of Trump.
            “Much  is  made  of  the  rise  mail-in  ballots  during  the  would  devastate  the  oil  and  once  thought  were  in  his  Biden  has  also  visited  John-
            of the youth vote, and thank  pandemic.  Biden  has  vowed  gas industry in Pennsylvania,  grasp  —  Iowa  and  Georgia  stown,  staging  a  drive-in
            God for it," the Florida con-  to win Pennsylvania, but if he  telling  Pittsburgh  voters  re-  — but where he now needs  rally  at  the  train  station  late
            gresswoman  said.  "But  it’s  falls short, his path to victory  cently: “I’ll keep your jobs in  to play defense in light of re-  last month. The former vice
            residents 65 or older who still  narrows substantially.   Pennsylvania where they be-  cent  polling  showing  Biden  president  has  tried  to  cast
            swing  elections  in  the  Sun-                           long, and you’re going to be  improving.                  himself  as  a  champion  of
            shine State.”                Pennsylvania  is  the  nation’s  fracking for a long time.”  With  20  electoral  votes,  working-class  voters  while
            Later,  Biden  was  holding  a  second-largest  natural  gas                           Pennsylvania  is  anchored  accusing  Trump  of  focusing
            voter  mobilization  rally  in  producer  after  Texas,  and  Trump   narrowly   flipped  by  Philadelphia  to  the  east,  on stock market returns and
            the  heavily  African  Ameri-  more natural gas was fracked  Michigan,  Pennsylvania  and  Pittsburgh  to  the  west.  But  Park Avenue values.
            can community of Miramar.  from the state's wells last year  Wisconsin  in  2016,  and  he  the rest of the state is largely
            His  swing  coincided  with  a  than  in  any  previous  year.  has  virtually  no  path  to  re-  rural, comprised of small cit-  Despite   the   pandemic,
                                                                                                   ies and towns where Trump  Trump’s  campaign  has  pri-
                                                                                                   ran  up  the  score  four  years  oritized in-person events and
                                                                                                   ago.  He  will  need  to  again,  aggressive  door-knocking  as
                                                                                                   in  even  greater  numbers,  as  it  tries  to  turn  out  new  and
                                                                                                   his  prospects  have  slipped  low  propensity  voters,  in-
                                                                                                   since 2016 in places like vote-  cluding  more  members  of
                                                                                                   rich  suburban  Philadelphia,  the white working class who
                                                                                                   where he underperformed by  may have backed Democrats
                                                                                                   past Republican measures.    in the past but now favor the
                                                                                                                                president.
                                                                                                   Trump's rally is at the airport  Republicans point to an aging
                                                                                                   in  Johnstown  in  Cambria  population  and  a  shrinking
                                                                                                   County,  a  historically  coal  voter-registration  edge  for
                                                                                                   and  steel  area  that  narrowly  Democrats, down 20% from
                                                                                                   backed  Democrat  Barack  2016’s  election  to  717,000,
                                                                                                   Obama  in  2008.  But  it  has  according to the latest Penn-
                                                                                                   trended  Republican  for  the  sylvania  data.  The  numbers
                                                                                                   past three decades and, in the  also  show  that  many  more
                                                                                                   2016 election, Trump scored  non-voting  Democrats  than
                                                                                                   a 37 percentage-point victory.  Republicans  fell  off  voter
                                                                                                   The area is also substantially  rolls in the last four years.
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