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Weighing up alternative valuation techniques

          Methodology                     Pros                                      Cons
          Component    •   Direct valuation of financial capital.  •  Challenges valuing intellectual capital:
          valuation                                                    o  No consensus over techniques.
                                                                       o  Idiosyncratic nature.
                                                                       o  Often only of value in combination.
          Precedent    •  Comparison to similar transactions.     •  Unlikely to find comparable transactions.
          transactions  •  Includes takeover premium.             •  Multiples can vary significantly.
                                                                  •  Become stale-dated.
                                                                  •  No detail on intellectual capital.
          Public       •  Widely used.                            •  Difficult to find similar businesses.
          company      •  Comparison to similar businesses.       •  Multiples can vary significantly.
          comparables  •  Stay current.                           •  No detail on intellectual capital.
          Discounted   •  Requires extensive detail and analysis.  •  Requires extensive detail and analysis.
          cash flow    •  More justified and accurate valuation.  •  Discount factors can be too subjective.
                       •  Enables scenario modelling.             •  Long-term cash flow forecasts not very robust.
                       •  Provides insight for value improvement.  •  Too much reliance placed on terminal value.

          Figure 2:  Weighing up alternative valuation techniques
                                           The significance of intellectual
         “value driver formula” as follows:
                    NOPATt=1(1 – g / ROIC)  capital in a business’s value means
              Value =
                        WACC – g
                                           it must be a major consideration
           This is commonly used by analysts to
         calculate a continuing or terminal value   when completing a valuation.
         for a business to be used at the end of the
         explicit forecast horizon in a discounted
         cash flow valuation.
           The value created can then be employed
         to:                              valuations from information held in the   performance that is expected to be
         y    Fund future organic or inorganic   financial accounts. However, these   achieved in the future.
           growth in the financial capital   accounts do not capture all shareholder
           required to build the business.  value, as shown by price-to-book ratios,   Approaches to value measurement
         y    Invest in maintaining or increasing   and the situation is getting worse. The   The significance of intellectual capital in a
           internally developed intellectual   ratio between S&P 500 price and book   business’s value means that it must be a
           capital (not reported on the balance   values is about 4.5 and has more than   major consideration when completing a
           sheet).                        doubled over the last decade. Some of this   valuation. However, directly measuring
         y    Acquire externally generated   may be due to factors such as the   the value of intellectual capital is
           intellectual capital (reported on   valuation given to financial capital or   extremely difficult, and there is no best
           the balance sheet as goodwill or   irrational exuberance of the market, but a   practice or regulatory requirements as to
           intangible assets).            key cause will be the nonreporting of all   how it should be completed. Several
         y    Repay debt capital (short- and   the other value hidden away in   characteristics of intellectual capital make
           long-term interest-bearing debt and   intellectual capital.      it difficult to determine a fair value:
           debt equivalents) or build holdings of   Finance professionals need to be   y    Most is not legally owned by the
           cash excess to operational needs.  competent in the financial reporting and   business; for instance, the business
         y    Repurchase equity capital (stock).  management of intellectual capital. In the   does not have legal ownership of its
           The decision as to which is the best   1970s the ratio of financial capital to   clients or employees.
         course of action will depend on a range of   intellectual capital was on average about   y    It is only of value when combined
         factors, but, principally, whether the   four times. Since then, the proportional   with other intellectual capital; an
         perceived returns from identified potential  relationship between financial and   excellent product proposition is only
         investments exceed the company’s WACC.  intellectual capital has reversed. This   of value if you have access to a market
                                          means that now most value is not a   with customer demand.
         Value measurement challenges     recognition of historical financial   y    It is esoteric in nature, having
         Most theory focuses on the derivation of   performance, but the financial   different value for different parties;
        FM-MAGAZINE.COM                                                        February 2022  I  FM MAGAZINE  I  29
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