Page 667 - The Toxicology of Fishes
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Exposure Assessment and Modeling in the Aquatic Environment                 647


                       first to characterize the process quantitatively in the form of the oxygen sag equation, which is essentially
                       a riverine oxygen mass balance. Later, these principles were applied to lakes and estuaries and to other
                       substances, notably hydrophobic organics, pesticides, metals, radionuclides, and nutrients. Much of the
                       pioneering work in North America was done at Manhattan College in New York by O’Connor and his
                       colleagues, notably Mueller, Thomann, Di Toro, and Connolly. Thomann (1998) reviewed the evolution
                       of these models as they have grown in scope, complexity, and utility. The models now routinely treat
                       water, sediment, the atmosphere, and aquatic food webs by segmenting the system into numerous
                       connected boxes and allowing for time-dependent changes in hydrodynamics and temperature. Episodic
                       events such as spills can be simulated. Thomann (1998) suggested that we are now entering a “golden
                       age” of aquatic modeling with the potential to contribute to the rational and effective management of
                       aquatic and marine systems. Currently available models are designed to treat organic substances, metals,
                       nutrients, and radionuclides.  They vary greatly in complexity.  They can be applied to lakes, rivers,
                       wetlands, estuaries, groundwater, and oceanic systems. Some include estimates of bioaccumulation and
                       toxicity. They all have the common objective of seeking to describe or simulate the fate of the chemical
                       in an aquatic system.



                       Fundamental Concepts

                       The simplest aquatic system unit is a small lake that consists of a well-mixed body of water, underlain
                       by a layer of well-mixed sediment with an overlying atmosphere. Use of the concept of well-mixed
                       compartments enables the amount of toxicant to be characterized by a single concentration rather than
                       a distribution of values. This is obviously a simplification, but it greatly facilitates mathematical simu-
                       lation. The water column is usually treated as consisting of water, suspended solids, and, in some cases,
                       dissolved organic matter. Discrimination between dissolved and suspended is operationally defined by
                       the pore size of a filter (usually a fraction of a micrometer); thus, smaller particles such as fulvic and
                       humic acid agglomerations may be treated as being dissolved when in reality they are separate phases.
                       The bottom sediment is usually treated as a mixture of water, mineral solids, and organic matter.
                       Vertebrate and invertebrate biota may be present in both water and sediment. Finally, the atmosphere
                       above the lake is treated as consisting of air and aerosol particles with chemical transport facilitated by
                       rainfall.
                        Toxicants can move through this system via two general transport processes. Any toxicant associated
                       with particles in air, water, or sediment will move with these particles as they deposit, resuspend, or
                       flow with the water. Toxicant will also flow with the water in dissolved form. These are essentially
                       advection processes. In addition, the toxicant is in a continuous state of diffusion through the system,
                       with a tendency to approach thermodynamic equilibrium (i.e., equal chemical potential or fugacity).
                       Concentrations in water and air, for example, will tend to approach equilibrium as dictated by Henry’s
                       law. At all times, the substance is subject to transformation or degradation processes such as microbial
                       conversion, photolysis, hydrolysis, or oxidation in all media.
                        In most, but not all, cases the mass balance model can ignore biota (except for biodegradation) because
                       the mass of substance associated with  biota is usually insignificant. Exceptions would include the
                       transport of chemicals associated with migrating salmon or bird guano. The concentration in biota can
                       be large multiples of that in water, but because the volume of biota is relatively small (e.g., 1 to 10 parts
                       in 1 million) the mass in biota is also small. This simplifies the model by allowing the dominant abiotic
                       fate processes to be deduced. Concentrations in biotic phases such as fish can be estimated later in a
                       separate calculation.
                        Figure 14.1 illustrates the processes to which a substance may be subjected in a simple unit lake.
                       Table 14.1 lists these processes and suggests the structure of the equations used to describe the equilibria
                       or kinetics. The modeler’s objective is to write equations describing all these processes in terms of the
                       local concentration of the substance, combine them, and then solve the overall mass balance. This can
                       be viewed as an accounting problem in which the aim is to balance the numerous inputs and outputs.
                        Different modelers write the various expressions describing the rates of these processes in different
                       ways; however, they share the common goal of quantifying all process rates accurately. These expressions
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