Page 272 - Linear Models for the Prediction of Animal Breeding Values 3rd Edition
P. 272

There are three terms in L: the first is a weighted sum of squares of residuals; the sec-
         ond, a term that depends on the variance matrix; and a third that depends on the vari-
         ance matrix of the fixed effects and can be thought of as a penalty because fixed effects
         are estimated. MME (Chapter 3) play an important part in the analysis process.
            For the particular model these can be written as (Eqn 3.4):
               ¢
            é XX         X Z ¢ ù é ù ˆ b  é Xy ¢ ù
            ê             - ú ê ú  =  ê  ú
                          1
               ¢
                    ¢+
            ë  ZX ZZ A a    û  a ë û  ë Z y ¢ û
                              ˆ
                  2
                                 2
                     2
                              2
         with a = s /s  or (1 - h )/h .
                  e  a
            Extensive use is made of the prediction error matrix of a. In this case the predic-
                                           22
                                              2
                                                                 22
         tion error matrix is PEV = var(a - aˆ) = C s  (Eqn 3.14), where C  is associated with
                                              e
         the coefficient matrix of the MME.
                               2
            Estimates of s  and s  are chosen to maximize L. It is useful to express relevant
                         2
                         a     e
         terms in this estimation process in terms of the projection matrix P:
                 −1
                              −1
                          −1
            P = V - X(X ′ V X) X ′ V −1
         Then:
                                              −1
                1
            L a( ){-y ′ Py - logdet(V) - logdet(X ′ V X)}                   (15.1)
                2
            Estimation of a variance parameter q  (q = s , q = s ) involves setting to zero
                                                    2
                                                           2
                                             i  1   e  2   a
         the first derivatives:
            ¶L/¶q = ( ){y ′ P(¶V/¶q )Py - trace[P(¶V/¶q )]}
                     1
                 i   2         i                 i
         These equations could be thought of as equating a function of data (the first term in
         the expression) to its expectation.
            Normally, finding a maximum requires an iterative scheme. One suggested by
         Patterson and Thompson (1971) was based on using the expected value of the second
         differential matrix. In this case these are:
                            1
                2
            E(¶L /¶q ¶q ) =-( )trace[P(¶V/¶q )P(¶V/¶q )]
                    i  j    2            i       j
            Using the first and expected second differentials one can update q using terms
         that depend on the solution of the MME and PEVs. For the particular animal model
         that is being considered, then:
                 2   1                            4              2
                 e   2                            e              e
            ¶L/¶s = ( ){(y - Xb - Za) ′ (y - Xb - Za)/s - (n - p - q)/s
                                   2
                            22
                    - trace[C A ]/s }                                       (15.2)
                              -1
                                   a
                           −1
                               4
                                                        4
                                                     2
                     1
                                               22
                 2
                                                  -1
                                     2
            ¶L/¶s = ( ){a ′ A a/s + q/s - trace[C A ]s /s }                 (15.3)
                 a   2         a      a              e  a
         and:
                    4
                                                    −1 2
                          1
                                                          4
                                       4
                2
                                                 22
            E(¶L /¶s ) = −( ){(n − p − q)/s  + trace[(C A ) ]/s }
                    e     2             e                 a
                                                  2
                                                2
                                             2
                                                     4
                                         −1
                    4
                2
                                      22
            E(¶L /¶s ) = −( ){trace[{I − C A (s /s )} ]/s }
                          1
                    a     2                  e  a    a
                                                   2
                2
                                         22
                                                          −1
                                                              4
            E(¶L /¶s ¶s ) = −( ){trace[{I − C A (s /s )}{C A }]s }
                                                       22
                       2
                             1
                                            −1
                                                2
                    2
                    a  e     2                  e  a          a
         Thinking of the variance parameters and the first differentials as vectors q and ¶L/¶q
         with ith (i = 1, 2) element q  and ¶L/¶q , respectively, and Einf, the expected informa-
                                i         i
         tion matrix, a matrix with i,jth element −E(¶L /¶q ¶q ), suggests an iterative scheme
                                                 2
                                                     i  j
         with the new estimate q  satisfying:
                             n
          256                                                            Chapter 15
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