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16 Commodity & Market Update//


          SHRIMP                                               Indonesia,  processed shrimp  exports,  including  breaded

          Farmed shrimp supply remains stable in Asia;         shrimp, increased to Japan and the US markets, in comparison
                                                               with raw frozen products.
          increased production in Latin America
                                                               Mexico’s  export  growth  was  significantly  higher  (+41%)
          Strong imports in China cushioned the demand shortfalls of   during the review period as compared to the previous year,
          traditional large markets where imports were rather stagnant   supported by strong demand from China and the Republic
          throughout 2019. However, even with lacklustre imports, the   of Korea. Peruvian shrimp exports also increased, albeit at a
          US emerged as a price setter in the global market for shrimp   more moderate level (+11.2%).
          trade. In the early months of 2020 due to the coronavirus
          outbreak in China, less shrimp than normal was consumed   Imports
          during the New Year celebrations, and the forecast is for a
          depressed global market in coming months.            China’s  strong  presence  in  the  global  shrimp  market
                                                               continued in 2019. Official imports of shrimp into the country
          Supply                                               increased by almost 170% during January-September 2019
          Preliminary industry reports for 2019 indicated slightly lower   compared with the same period in 2018. On the other hand,
          supply  in  Asia  and  increased  production  in  Latin  America   illegal  and  unreported imports through  border  trade  with
          compared with 2018. In general, farmers in Asia have been   Vietnam  decreased  significantly  following  stringent  border
          adversely affected by the weak price trends and occurrence   control by the Chinese authorities. Total imports of shrimp in
          of diseases in certain areas.                        China during this period (including unreported border trade)
                                                               is estimated to have exceeded 500 000 tonnes in the first nine
          In  China,  the  world’s  largest  producer  of  farmed  shrimp,   months of 2019.
          vannamei  production  fell  below  2018  levels.  In  India,
          production  in  the  major  farming  regions  of  Andhra  and   Consumer  demand  for  shrimp  in  the  US  domestic  market
          Tamil Nadu was below 2018 levels due to the general price   was  good  during the  2019  summer,  supported  by stable
          weakening. However, overall output in India stayed slightly   supplies and cheaper prices. Compared with 2018, imports
          above 2018 levels due to increased production in the central   increased  marginally  (+1.1%)  at  496  287  tonnes  from
          and eastern regions of the country. Domestic production in   January-September  2019,  suggesting  more  than  sufficient
          Vietnam improved in 2019, but imports of frozen raw material   local stocks. Among the top suppliers to the market, imports
          declined significantly compared with 2018.           increased from India, Ecuador and Vietnam but declined from
                                                               Indonesia,  Thailand  and  China.  There  were  higher  imports
          In 2019, Thai shrimp farmers struggled against environmental   from Mexico and Argentina.
          and  economic  factors  such  as  disease  in  their  breeding   Under the raw shrimp category, imports of shell-on shrimp
          programmes  and  low  market  prices,  resulting  in  less   in the US were 169 000 tonnes (+12% over 2018). Demand
          production when compared to the previous year.
                                                               was good for large sized shrimp, and peeled shrimp imports
          Elsewhere, in Latin America, the two-digit export growth in   also increased to 223 750 tonnes, an increase of 3.2% when
          Ecuador, Peru, and Mexico during January- September 2019   compared  to  the  same  period  in  2018.  For  the  popular
          suggested  increased  supplies  of  farmed  shrimp  in  these   breaded shrimp, imports increased by 2.4% at 36 440 tonnes.
          countries compared with 2018. The largest producer in that   The supply shortfall of breaded shrimp from China was more
          region, Ecuador, harvested over 550 000 tonnes of shrimp in   than  compensated  by  increased  imports  from  Vietnam,
          2019. For sea-caught shrimp, the Southern Shrimp Alliance   Thailand, and Indonesia.
          (SSA)  reported  lower  shrimp  landings  from  the  American   In the Japanese shrimp market, consumer demand improved
          Gulf of Mexico during the first ten months of 2019, totalling   in 2019 due to the national celebrations on the coronation
          31  388  tonnes,  the  lowest  level  recorded  since  2002.  In   of  the  Emperor.  In  general,  there  was  greater  demand  for
          Argentina, shrimp catches in 2019 were estimated to be at   processed  shrimp,  while  demand  for  raw  shell-on  shrimp
          210 000 tonnes, or about 15% lower than in 2018.     weakened.
          Exports                                              Overall,  imports  during  the  first  nine  months  of  2019
                                                               remained  the  same  as  2018  at  154  280  tonnes,  of  which
          During  the  third  quarter  of  2019,  the  seasonal  surge  of   31% or 46 645 tonnes were value-added products such as
          farmed shrimp and strong imports into China helped maintain   tempura shrimp, sushi and cooked shrimp. With a 43% share
          positive export curves in many shrimp producing countries.   in  imports,  Vietnam  was  the  top  exporter  of  value-added
          Ecuador  remained  the  top shrimp  exporter  with  strong   shrimp, followed by Thailand, Indonesia and China.
          growth (+28.8%), followed by India where the growth rate   During the review period, imports of raw shell-on and raw
          was  marginal.  In  contrast,  Vietnamese  shrimp  exports  (of   peeled  shrimp  declined  to 106 260  tonnes,  in  comparison
          which  30-40%  consisted  of  processed  shrimp)  increased   with  108 070 tonnes imported during  the corresponding
          significantly  during  the  first  nine  months  of  the  year.  In   period in 2018.




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