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136 CHAPTER 4 • CAPACiTy sTRATEgy

                          Figure 4.7  some factors influencing the timing of capacity change


                                              Lead-time                  Forecast level
                                              of capacity                 of demand
                               Ability to      change
                              cope with                                                  Competitor
                               change                                                     activity


                                                             Timing of
                                     OPERATIONS                                    MARKET
                                      RESOURCES              capacity           REQUIREMENTS
                                                             change



                             Economies                                                 Uncertainty of
                               of scale                                                future demand
                                                                         Required level
                                                                          of service





                           demand warrants it, just to pre-empt a competitor getting in first. The economics of the
                           investment may even mean that whoever expands their capacity first renders capacity
                           expansion by any other operation uneconomic. Figure 4.7 illustrates the factors that
                           influence the timing decision.


                           generic timing strategies
                           There are three generic strategies for timing capacity change:
                           1  Capacity leads demand –  timing the introduction of capacity in such a way that
                              there is always sufficient capacity to meet forecast demand.
                           2  Capacity lags demand – timing the introduction of capacity so that demand is always
                              equal to or greater than capacity.
                           3  Smoothing with inventories – timing the introduction of capacity so that current
                              capacity plus accumulated inventory can always supply demand.
                           For example, Figure 4.8 shows the forecast demand for an air conditioning company
                           that has decided to build 400-unit/week capacity plants to meet the growth in demand.
                           Figure 4.8(a) illustrates capacity leading and lagging strategies, while Figure 4.8(b) illus-
                           trates the ‘smoothing with inventories’ strategy. Each strategy has its own advantages
                           and disadvantages. These are shown in Table 4.3. The actual approach taken by any
                           company will depend on how it views these advantages and disadvantages. For exam-
                           ple, if the company’s access to funds for capital expenditure is limited, it is likely to find
                           the delayed capital expenditure requirement of the capacity-lagging strategy relatively
                           attractive.
                             Pure leading and pure lagging strategies can be implemented so that no invento-
                           ries are accumulated. All demand in one period is satisfied (or not) by the activity of
                           the operation in the same period. For a customer-processing operation there is no








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