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                  48                    CHAPTER 2   DEMAND AND SUPPLY ANALYSIS
                                        when the price rises, so will the total revenue, but a higher price will generally reduce
                                        the quantity demanded. Thus, the “benefit” of the higher price is offset by the “cost”
                                        due to the reduction in quantity, and businesses must generally consider this trade-off
                                        when they think about raising a price. If the demand is elastic (the quantity demanded
                                        is relatively sensitive to price), the quantity reduction will outweigh the benefit of the
                                        higher price, and total revenue will fall. If the demand is inelastic (the quantity
                                        demanded is relatively insensitive to price), the quantity reduction will not be too
                                        severe, and total revenue will go up. Thus, knowledge of the price elasticity of demand
                                        can help a business predict the revenue impact of a price increase.



                                        DETERMINANTS OF THE PRICE ELASTICITY OF DEMAND
                                        Price elasticities of demand have been estimated for many products using statistical tech-
                                        niques. Table 2.1 presents these estimates for a variety of food, liquor, and tobacco products
                                        in the United States, while Table 2.2 presents estimates for various modes of transporta-
                                        tion. What determines these elasticities? Consider the estimated elasticity of  0.107 for
                                        cigarettes in Table 2.1, which indicates that a 10 percent increase in the price of cigarettes
                                        would result in a 1.07 percent drop in the quantity of cigarettes demanded. This tells us
                                        that cigarettes have an inelastic demand: When the prices of all the individual brands of
                                        cigarettes go up (perhaps because of an increase in cigarette taxes), overall consumption of
                                        cigarettes is not likely to be affected very much. This conclusion makes sense. Even
                                        though consumers might want to cut back their consumption when cigarettes become
                                        more expensive, most would find it difficult to do so because cigarettes are habit forming.
                                           In many circumstances, decision makers do not have precise numerical estimates
                                        of price elasticities of demand based on statistical techniques. Consequently, they have
                                        to rely on their knowledge of the product and the nature of the market to make edu-
                                        cated conjectures about price sensitivity.




                                        TABLE 2.1   Estimates of the Price Elasticity of Demand for Selected Food,
                                        Tobacco, and Liquor Products
                                                          Product                 Estimated   Q,P
                                                          Cigars                       0.756
                                                          Canned and cured seafood     0.736
                                                          Fresh and frozen fish        0.695
                                                          Cheese                       0.595
                                                          Ice cream                    0.349
                                                          Beer and malt beverages      0.283
                                                          Bread and bakery products    0.220
                                                          Wine and brandy              0.198
                                                          Cookies and crackers         0.188
                                                          Roasted coffee               0.120
                                                          Cigarettes                   0.107
                                                          Chewing tobacco              0.105
                                                          Pet food                     0.061
                                                          Breakfast cereal             0.031
                                        Source: Emilio Pagoulatos and Robert Sorensen, “What Determines the Elasticity of Industry
                                        Demand,” International Journal of Industrial Organization, 4 (1986): 237–250.
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