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                  PART TEN
              688
                   International Economics
                 divert resources away from more socially desirable pur-    CONSIDER THIS . . .
                 poses, trade restrictions impose that cost on society.
                     Conclusion: The gains that U.S. trade barriers create                                Shooting
                 for protected industries and their workers come at the ex-                             Yourself in
                 pense of much greater losses for the entire economy. The                               the Foot
                 result is economic inefficiency.
                                                                                                          In the lore of the
                                                                                                        Wild West,  a
                     The Case for Protection:                                                           gunslinger on oc-
                 A Critical Review                                                                      casion would ac-
                                                                                                        cidentally pull
                   Despite the logic of specialization and trade, there are still                       the trigger on his
                 protectionists in some union halls, corporate boardrooms,                              pistol while re-
                 and the halls of Congress. What arguments do protection-  trieving it from its holster, shooting himself in the foot. Since
                 ists make to justify trade barriers? How valid are those   then, the phrase “shooting yourself in the foot” implies doing
                 arguments?                                            damage to yourself rather than the intended party.
                                                                                 That is precisely how economist Paul Krugman sees a trade
                    Military Self-Sufficiency                          war:
                 Argument                                                    A trade war in which countries restrict each other’s exports
                                                                         in pursuit of some illusory advantage is not much like a real
                   The argument here is not economic but political-military:   war. On the one hand, nobody gets killed. On the other, unlike
                 Protective tariffs are needed to preserve or strengthen in-  real wars, it is almost impossible for anyone to win, since the
                 dustries that produce the materials essential for national   main losers when a country imposes barriers to trade are not
                 defense. In an uncertain world, the political-military   foreign exporters but domestic residents. In effect, a trade
                 objectives (self-sufficiency) sometimes must take prece-  war is a conflict in which each country uses most of its am-
                 dence over economic goals (efficiency in the use of world   munition to shoot itself in the foot.*
                 resources).                                             The same analysis is applicable to trade boycotts between
                     Unfortunately, it is difficult to measure and compare the   major trading partners. Such a boycott was encouraged by
                 benefit of increased national security against the cost of eco-  some American commentators against French imports because
                 nomic inefficiency when protective tariffs are imposed. The   of the opposition of France to the U.S.- and British-led war in
                 economist can only point out that when a nation levies tariffs   Iraq. But the decline of exports to the United States would
                 to increase military self-sufficiency it incurs economic costs.   leave the French with fewer U.S. dollars to buy American ex-
                     All people in the United States would agree that rely-  ports. So the unintended effect would be a decline in U.S. ex-
                 ing on hostile nations for necessary military equipment is   ports to France and reduced employment in U.S. export
                                                                       industries. Moreover, such a trade boycott, if effective, might
                 not a good idea, yet the self-sufficiency argument is open to   lead French consumers to retaliate against American imports.
                 serious abuse. Nearly every industry can claim that it makes   As with a “tariff war,” a “boycott war” typically harms oneself
                 direct or indirect contributions to national security and   as much as the other party.
                 hence deserves protection from imports.
                     Are there not better ways than tariffs to provide needed     *Paul Krugman,  Peddling Prosperity  (New York: Norton, 1994), p. 287.
                 strength in strategic industries? When it is achieved through
                 tariffs, this self-sufficiency increases the domestic prices of
                 the products of the protected industry. Thus only those
                 consumers who buy the industry’s products shoulder the   wars, international political developments, recessions
                 cost of greater military security. A direct subsidy to strategic   abroad, and random fluctuations in world supply and demand
                 industries, financed out of general tax revenues, would dis-  for one or two particular goods can cause deep declines in
                 tribute those costs more equitably.
                                                                     export revenues and therefore in domestic income. Tariff
                                                                     and quota protection are allegedly needed in such nations
                    Diversification-for-Stability                    to enable greater industrial diversification. That way, these
                 Argument                                            economies will not be so dependent on exporting one or
                   Highly specialized economies such as Saudi Arabia (based   two products to obtain the other goods they need. Such
                 on oil) and Cuba (based on sugar) are dependent on inter-  goods will be available domestically, thereby providing
                 national markets for their income. In these economies,   greater domestic stability.








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