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462     PART 5  Finance


                                                                 (sales price  purchase price)  dividends
                                          Rate of return on stock
                                                                             purchase price
                                     Using this formula, we get

                                                                 ($23  $20)  $2
                                           Rate of return on stock
                                                                       $20
                                                                 $5

                                                                 $20
                                                                0.25   or 25 percent
                                        Here the capital gains rate of return, or yield, is $3/$20  0.15, or 15 percent. The
                                     dividend yield is $2/$20  0.10, or 10 percent. The sum of the capital gains yield and
                                     dividend yield is the rate of return on the stock. Most firms keep dividends fairly sta-
                                     ble over time and only cut them in the event of abnormally low net income after
                                     taxes. Thus, we can infer that rates of return on stocks change primarily due to
                                     changing prices over time. Exhibit 13.7 shows how to read stock market quotations
                                     of prices and dividends for a firm in the newspaper.
                                        How can an investor determine if a particular stock will pay a good rate of
                                     return? To assess expected returns on a stock, it is necessary to estimate the future
                                     profitability of the issuing firm. Profitable firms can pay healthy dividends and can
                                     attract investors to buy their stock. Increased demand for a stock by investors will
                                     increase its share prices. Another important aspect for investors to evaluate is the
                                     risk of the firm. Are its profits stable or volatile over time? Do the firm’s revenues fall
                                     so low at times that it could default on its debt and go bankrupt? Consider two firms
                                     A and B with net incomes after taxes over a five-year period as follows:

                                                Year 1  Year 2  Year 3  Year 4  Year 5  Average Profit

                                       Firm A    $10     $10     $10    $10     $10    $50/5 years  $10/year
                                       Firm B    $10     $14     $6     $12      $8    $50/5 years  $10/year


                                        While firms A and B have equal average profitability, investors would not con-
                                     sider these two firms to have equal risk. Firm B has more unstable profits than firm
                                     A. For this reason investors would not pay as high a price for B compared to A. We
        EXHIBIT 13.7                 can infer that firms with less risk will have higher share prices, holding average

        How to Read Stock Market     profitability the same. In summary, firms can increase their share prices by both
        Quotations in the            increasing profits and reducing risk.
        Newspaper

                                                           Stock price divided by the
                                           Annual dividend  firm’s average earnings        Change in the closing
                                           paid per share  per share of stock over         price from the last
                        Company name       last year       the past four quarters          trading day to today


             52 Weeks                                  Yld             Vol                            Net
            Hi     Lo    Stock         Sym      Div     %      PE      100$     Hi     Lo   Close     Chg
           50.66  28.20  DmlrChry l    DCX      .91    2.6     15      7200    35.18  30.51  33.52   –.60
           32.50  17.23  McDonalds     MCD      .25    1.5     13     45692    19.84  15.92  16.48    +.02
           59.90  40.21  SonyCp        SNE      .16     .4      …      2560    43.01  42.60  42.91   –.86


           Highest and              Ticker symbol   Dividend       7200 means   The highest, lowest,
           lowest stock             used to         paid divided   that 720,000  and last price for the
           price over the           identify firm   by market      shares of stock  stock during the day
           last year                                price of stock  traded that day


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