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26      PART 1  The Nature of Contemporary Business


                                     May 2004. When the index rises, it indicates that consumers are more confident
                                     about current business conditions.  This implies that consumers may continue
                                     spending, and this in turn could affect business revenues and earnings. A drop in the
                                     Consumer Confidence Index sends a message to firms that they should not be opti-
                                     mistic about the immediate business environment and may want to curb investment
                                     or expansion plans. Economists get very concerned, since these actions may raise
                                     unemployment and reduce corporate profits and income tax revenues. A related
                                     index put out by the Conference Board is the Expectations Index, which measures the
                                     consumer outlook for the short term. When this index rises, it indicates that overall,
                                     consumers are optimistic about the short-term outlook for the U.S. economy.


                                     The Consumer Knows Best
                                     Given the fact that businesses depend heavily on consumers for their survival, the
                                     questions in every businessperson’s mind are, Who is the consumer? Are all con-
                                     sumers alike? Do culture, income, demographics, national boundaries, and so on
                                     impact a consumer’s purchasing habits and purchasing power? If so, how and why?
                                     Properly identifying, understanding, and serving customer needs is key to business
                                     success. Regardless of what businesspeople think, it is ultimately the consumer
                                     who calls the shots. Quite often businesses come up with a relatively novel product
                                     or service, but the consumer may not be ready for it. The consumer may find the
                                     particular product or service to be of little value to him or her, and this may result
                                     in that business’s failure. The test of business success is in the market, and in the
                                     market the consumer rules!


                                     Consumer Demographics and Psychographics

                                     The United States is the largest consumer market in the world. It is also the world’s
                                     largest economy with one of the lowest unemployment rates. In addition, the
                                     United States is the world’s largest importer and exporter of goods and services.
                                     According to the U.S. Census Bureau, for example, 51 percent of the U.S. popula-
                                     tion of some 285 million in 2004 (and projected to increase to 300 million by the end



        American Eagle Outfitters is a typi-
        cal specialty store that primarily
        tries to cater to the changing
        desires and needs of American
        teenagers.
























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