Page 7 - RiskAssessment

Table (1) risk analysis summary:

Hazard and Exposure Likelihood Severity, Vulnerability and
Coping Capacity
# Health Exposu Frequ Seasonality Severit Vulnera Coping Impact Confidenc Risk
level
e level
hazard Consequence Scale re ency Likelihood y bility capacit
s J F M A M J J A S O N D y
1 AWD Mortality and Nation Everybo Perenn Very likely High High Partial Severe Satisfactory High
morbidity wide dy, ial severity
especiall
y elderly
and
children,
15 to
40,000
2 Haemorr Mortality and Red Everybo Perenn Very likely High High Partial Severe Satisfactory High
hagic morbidity sea, dy, ial severity
fevers kassala, especiall
Geizera, y elderly
Gadarif, and
white children,
Nile, 5 to
15,000
3 Neonatal Mortality and Gezira, Neonate Rando Unlikely Moderat Partial High Moderate Good Low
Tetanus morbidity Khartou s 100 to m e
m, 500 severity
Norther
n State
4 Measles Mortality and Nationwi 15 to Perenn Very likely Moderat High High Moderate Good High
morbidity de 30,000 ial e
age severity
group
up to 40
year
5 Meningiti Mortality and All 100 to Unlikely High Low High Moderate Satisfactory Low

s morbidity, except 500 severity
disability northern above 5
state yrs.
and red
sea
6 Guinea Morbidity South Displace Rare Very Very Very High Negligibl Good Very
Worm Darfur, populati unlikely low low e low
Blue on severity
Nile,
White
Nile,
West
Kordofa
n, South
Kordofa
n
7 SARS Morbidity and Khartou imported Rare Very High Low Low Moderate Good Very
Mortality m suspect unlikely severity low
ed
cases
8 Influenz Morbidity and Nationwi 100 to Perenn Very likely Moderat Partial High Moderate Satisfactory High
a Mortality de 1000 ial e
severity
9 Hepatitis Morbidity and nationwi 1000 to Rando Likely Moderat High Partial Moderate Good Mod
A&E Mortality de 5000 m e erate
severity
1 Malaria Morbidity and Nationwi 5000 to Perenn Very likely Moderat High High Moderate Satisfactory High
0 Mortality de 20,000 ial e
(all age severity
gp)
1 Food Morbidity and Nationwi 200 to Rando Unlikely Low Partial Partial Moderate Good Low
1 poisonin Mortality de 1,000 m severity
g