Page 27 - CCFA Journal - 8th Issue
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加中金融                                      风险控制 Risk Management

      Below we  go  through an example of a residential mortgage   下面我们将通过一个住宅抵押贷款的例子以及巴塞尔协议
      and the expected capital impact under Basel IV.            IV 下的预期资本影响。
      Assume a borrower has residential mortgage with Bank A for   假设借款人在 A 银行有住宅抵押贷款,用于创收财产,抵
      an  income  producing  property,  with  $500,000  mortgage   押贷款余额为  500,000  美元。我们使用加拿大的平均抵押
      balance and property value of $800,000. We use the average   贷款拖欠率 0.17% 来近似违约概率,并使用 10% 的违约损
                                         11
      Canadian mortgage arrear rate, 0.17% , to approximate the   失率(基于较低的贷款房屋价值比率)。在模型化方法下,
      probability  of  default,  and  10%  for  Loss  (percentage)  given   该抵押贷款的 RWA 为 17,771 美元,遵循以下等式。
      default (due to low loan to value ratio). Under the modelled
      approach,  the  RWA  for  this  mortgage  would  be  $17,771,                (    )       
      following the equation below.                                   = [LGD ∗ N        +          (0.999)  −      ∗       
                                                                                 √1 −       1 −   

                        (    )      
          = [LGD ∗ N         +          (0.999)  −      ∗                                =    ∗ 12.5 ∗       
                     √1 −        1 −   

                              =    ∗ 12.5 ∗       
                                                                 其中 N(x) 是标准化正态分布 CDF; G(z) 是 N(x) 的反函数;
      where N(x) is the standardized normal distribution CDF; G(z)   PD、LGD、EAD  标准分别代表违约概率、违约损失和违约
      is  the  inverse  function  of  N();  PD,  LGD,  EAD  standard  for   风险敞口。 R 是相关因子,目前在当前资本要求下设定为
      Probability  of  Default,  Loss  given  Default  and  Exposure  at   15%(OSFI 2019)
      Default respectively. R is the correlation factor, currently set
      at 15% under the current capital requirement (OSFI 2019).   如果我们假设一家银行的目标是维持 10% 的资本比率(可
                                                                 用资本/总  RWA),那么该抵押贷款所需的资本将为每年
      If we assume a bank targets to maintain a 10% capital ratio   1,777  美元。再次假设这家银行的平均资本回报率为  10%,
      (available capital/Total RWA) and the required capital for this   在银行资产负债表上进行抵押的资本成本将是每年  177  美
      mortgage  would  be  $1,777  per  year.  Assuming  again  the
      average  return  on  capital  for  this  bank  is  10%,  the  capital   元。在加拿大实施巴塞尔协议  IV  时,相关因子已增加到
      costs for carrying the mortgage on its balance sheet would be   0.22。该抵押贷款的  RWA  将增加到  28,272  或相当于每年
      $177  per  year.  In  the  Canadian  implementation of Basel  IV,   283  美元的资本成本,即增长  59%。考虑如果银行受限于
      the correlation factor has been increased to 0.22. The RWA   标准化资本下限,假设该抵押贷款的 LTV 为 65%,则该抵
      for this mortgage will  increase  to 28,272 or equivalent to  a   押贷款的有效 RWA 将为余额的 45%。在 2023 年(2023 年
      capital  cost  of  $283  per  year,  which  is  a  59%  increase.   的最低百分比为  65%),资本成本将为每年  1,463  美元,
      Consider if the bank is constrained to the standardized capital   增幅高达 800%。
      floor, assuming the LTV of this mortgage is 65%, the effective
      RWA for this mortgage would be 45% of the balance. In the   但是,银行可能会为用于创收目的的抵押贷款或不符合
      year  of  2023  (floor  percentage  of  65%  in  2023),  the  capital   OSFI  对  B-20  指南的预期的抵押贷款的系统、模型和贷款
      cost would be $1,463 per year, a whopping 800% increase.   政策实施产生更多费用。一些银行可能会出于购买创收物
                                                                 业的目的而完全停止放贷,或者如果借款人在住宅空间中
      However, banks may incur more expenses for system, model   不符合 OSFI B-20 准则。
      and lending policy implementation for mortgages for income
      producing  purpose  or  those  that  do  not  meet  OSFI
      expectation with regards to B-20 guidelines. Some banks may
      stop lending altogether for the purpose of purchasing income
      producing properties, or if the borrower does not meet OSFI
      B-20 guidelines in the residential space.




































    11  Canadian Bankers Association February 2022
                                           CCFA JOURNAL OF FINANCE   August 2022                        Page 27     第27页
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