Page 47 - FINAL CFA II SLIDES JUNE 2019 DAY 9
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LOS 36.h: Explain how interest rate volatility
    affects option-adjusted spreads.                                READING 36: VALUATION AND ANALYSIS: BONDS WITH EMBEDDED OPTIONS

     EXAMPLE: A $100-par, 3-year, 6% annual-pay ABC callable bond trades at $99.95.   MODULE 36.4: OPTION-ADJUSTED SPREAD
     The underlying call option exercisable in one or two years at par. The benchmark
     interest rate tree assuming volatility of 20% is: provided below.



















    Bigger difference between market price and callable bond value (CBV), means bigger OAS needed to force down CBV = market price.


                                 Analyst A                                                          Analyst B


      Say a 7%, 10-year callable   •  Assumes 15% future volatility, gets $1,050                    •  Assumes 20% volatility, gets lower, $992
      bond trading @ $958          (Bond value difference 92)                                          (Bond value difference 34)
                                 •  Computes the OAS (increase in discount rate required to lower bond   •  Computes the OAS to be 54 bps
                                   value to market price of $958) to be 80 bps.



                                                                                                       At higher volatility (of benchmark
                                                                                                       rates) used in the BIRT (20%),  CBV
                                                                                                       will be lower ($992)—and therefore
                                                                                                       closer to its true market price ($34),
                                                                                                       OAS is therefore lower (54 bps).
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