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Subject P2: Advanced Management Accounting




               CHAPTER 12 – RISK AND UNCERTAINTY IN DECISION
               MANAGEMENT


               12.1 Two investors, Duccio and Cimabue, are choosing between different projects.
                     Duccio selects the project that is preferred using the maximax method, whereas
                     Cimabue selects the project using the minimax regret approach.

                     Which of the following statements correctly describes the investors’
                     attitudes to risk?


                     A     They both exhibit the same attitude to risk

                     B     Duccio is more risk averse than Cimabue

                     C     Cimabue is more risk averse than Duccio

                     D     It is not possible to form an opinion on their risk attitudes


               12.2 Grunewald Limited is deciding which of three potential selling prices to set for a
                     new product it is about to launch.

                     Although it is likely to be first to market, the speed of its competitors’ response
                     will affect the annual profits that Grunewald will earn. A payoff table has been
                     prepared showing the forecast profit (in $000) for each of the nine possible
                     outcomes.

                     Speed of competitor response                    Selling price

                                                            $50          $60         $70

                     Within 2 months                          70          85           65

                     Within 6 months                          90          95           80

                     Not by year end                        110          100         120


                     Identify the selling price that would be chosen if Grunewald applies the
                     maximin criterion.

                     Grunewald should set a selling price of $ ____.

















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