Page 29 - AASBO EDGE Fall 2021 WEB
P. 29

AASBO SUMMER CONFERENCE WRAP-UP

        BY DON HARRIS
                                                                                Randie Stein
        Schools Facing Uncertainty Over Taxes, Revenue





        Randie Stein, who understands and explains the nuances  to leave Arizona, that
        of taxes as well as anyone in Arizona, gave AASBO  everything  is  fine
        members a nuts-and-bolts presentation  of legislative  and that your income
        actions that figure to impact public schools.           taxes  really  aren’t
                                                                going up because the
        But sometimes taxes can prove to be a moving target  state  will  pick  it  up
        – more about that later. At the closing session of the  for you,” Stein said.
        AASBO  Summer Conference and Expo on July 24,
        Stein, Managing Director of Stifel, an investment  But it also reduces
        banking company, talked about the impact of a flat tax  the  money  going
        rate on Invest in Ed and Proposition 208. The tax rate  to  the  state  general
        on income determines tax liability. For tax year 2021,  fund, she said,  and
        there are four tax rate brackets with rates ranging from  that it is clearly the desire of policymakers to mitigate
        2.59% to 4.50%.                                         the  taxpayer  liability  associated  with  what  voters
                                                                approved last year in Prop. 208.
        Prop. 208, the education-backed ballot measure
        approved by voters last year, establishes an individual  And, SB 1828 phases in the individual income tax rate
        income tax surcharge of 3.5%, which increases the  structure to a flat income tax rate, subject to general
        highest marginal tax rate to 8%.  The threshold for  fund revenue triggers, Stein explained.  “It reduces
        the  surcharge  is  taxable  income  above  $250,000  for  general fund collections associated with the decline in
        individuals  and  $500,000  for  couples  filing  joint  the marginal tax rate, and the ultimate outcome is a flat
        returns, with the proceeds estimated at more than $800  tax rate of 2.5 %, she said.
        million a year going to public education.
                                                                “The biggest elephant in the budget
        “There is a lot of discussion on when that money would   is where legislators turn when they
        get to school districts,” Stein said at the time. “Probably
        fiscal 2023, if all goes well.” Well, all didn’t go well.  get into a money crunch.”
        Stein touched on three pieces of legislation that deal
        with Arizona’s individual income tax. Senate Bill 1783  “I  can’t  overstate  enough  a  $1.5  billion  per  year
        creates an alternate income tax for small business.  reduction in revenue to general fund,” Stein said. “State
        Stein explained: “You can’t be subject to the Prop. 208  aid is the single largest general fund budget expenditure
        surcharge if you don’t have Arizona individual income,”  each year, and $5.2 billion of the $12.8 billion general
        Stein said. It is intended to avoid the surcharge. But  fund budget – or 41% – is state aid to schools. What
        don’t be fooled, Stein said, the bill also applies to  happens if there is a downturn? The biggest elephant in
        interest and dividend income.                           the budget is where legislators turn when they get into
                                                                a money crunch.”
        SB 1827 caps the combined individual income tax rate
        and Prop. 208 education income tax surcharge at 4.5%.  Less revenue inhibits program expansion and makes
        “This bill is intended to encourage wealthy people not  it  more  difficult  to  pay  off  the  rollover,  Stein  said,
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