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Confidential and Privileged
                                                                                                                                                                                                  For the Audit and Finance Committee's Review

                           Work-paper #3-3:
                           Pancake Market Basket vs. Modified Producer Price Index:
                           2015 Performance by Category


                           Category: Grocery
                                                                  Pancake Market Basket                                                                      Modified Producer Price Index (MPPI)
                                                              Average Actual Store Cost (Jan - Dec)    Budgeted   Spend                                                    Average PPI Sub-Indices (Jan - Dec)  Indexed Cost   Indexed Spend
                           Product                            2014      2015   fav/(unfav)  Volume 2015   2014  2015 fav/(unfav)  Referenced PPI Sub-Indices   PPI Code      2014    2015  fav/(unfav)  2015   2015   fav/(unfav)
                           [1]                                 [2]       [3]        [4]       [5]       [6]      [7]     [8]  [9]                              [10]          [11]    [12]    [13]     [14]     [15]     [16]
                           Compote, Blueberry, Globe          $1.35     $1.32      2.6%         1,564,596  $2,115,581  $2,059,810  2.6%  Canned jams, jellies, and preserves  WPU02810102  164  164  0.3%  $1.35  $2,110,111  0.3%
                           Ketchup 20 oz., Upside Down        $0.74     $0.74      -0.7%         5,143,200  $3,800,538  $3,827,680  -0.7%  Canned catsup and other tomato based sauces  WPU02440127  157  156  0.8%  $0.73  $3,768,731  0.8%
                           Mixed Fruit, Fruit Salad, Del 14#FAF   $2.51  $2.23    11.2%         1,322,881  $3,316,871  $2,946,081  11.2%  Canned fruits, excluding baby foods  WPU02410105  181  200  -10.0%  $2.76  $3,649,152  -10.0%
                           Old Fashioned Maple Syrup          $4.19     $4.24      -1.2%         1,130,577  $4,733,659  $4,791,792  -1.2%  Corn sweeteners     WPU02540107   172     167    2.8%     $4.07   $4,599,449  2.8%
                           Onion Rings, Crumb Breaded, Gourmet, 3/4"   $1.09  $1.09  -0.7%         2,612,307  $2,837,952  $2,858,814  -0.7%  Frozen vegetables, other than potato products  WPU02450509  135  136  -0.9%  $1.10  $2,862,712  -0.9%
                           Pasta, Macaroni & Cheese           $1.61     $1.61      0.1%            842,559  $1,354,977  $1,353,398  0.1%  Dry macaroni, spaghetti, and egg noodle products  WPU0214020303  112  120  -7.4%  $1.73  $1,455,005  -7.4%
                           Salsa - 16/32 oz                   $0.78     $0.83      -6.2%         2,753,554  $2,139,005  $2,271,999  -6.2%  Canned catsup and other tomato based sauces  WPU02440127  157  156  0.8%  $0.77  $2,121,104  0.8%
                           Sauce, Hollandaise                 $1.27     $1.36      -7.0%         1,475,180  $1,872,711  $2,003,714  -7.0%  Prepared sauces, except tomato  WPU02860103  157  158  -0.6%  $1.28  $1,884,117  -0.6%
                           Syrup Cups, To Go                  $0.74     $0.82     -11.4%         2,078,507  $1,539,251  $1,714,397  -11.4%  Corn sweeteners    WPU02540107   172     167    2.8%     $0.72   $1,495,609  2.8%
                           Whole Strawberries in Topping      $1.45     $1.53      -5.7%         8,436,598  $12,209,277  $12,911,159  -5.7%  Canned jams, jellies, and preserves  WPU02810102  164  164  0.3%  $1.44  $12,177,707  0.3%
                           Overall Performance                                                   $35,919,821 $36,738,844  -2.3%  Overall Performance                                                        $36,123,698  -0.6%


                           Category: Dairy
                                                                  Pancake Market Basket                                                                      Modified Producer Price Index (MPPI)
                                                              Average Actual Store Cost (Jan - Dec)    Budgeted   Spend                                                    Average PPI Sub-Indices (Jan - Dec)  Indexed Cost   Indexed Spend
                           Product                            2014      2015   fav/(unfav)  Volume 2015   2014  2015 fav/(unfav)  Referenced PPI Sub-Indices   PPI Code      2014    2015  fav/(unfav)  2015   2015   fav/(unfav)
                           [1]                                 [2]       [3]      [4]         [5]       [6]      [7]     [8]  [9]                              [10]          [11]    [12]    [13]     [14]     [15]     [16]
                           Butter, Whipped Salted             $2.57     $2.36    8.5%          3,683,950  $9,485,999  $8,677,197  8.5%  Butter                 WPU02320114   151     148    2.4%     $2.51   $9,262,135  2.4%
                           Cheese, 50/50 Mont Jack/Ched Col, Fancy Shred  $2.50  $2.12  15.4%          1,606,326  $4,017,003  $3,398,467  15.4%  Natural cheese, except  lowfat, shipped in packages  WPU023302122  108  86  20.0%  $2.00  $3,213,167  20.0%
                           Cheese, American, 160 Slice Col    $2.39     $1.99    16.9%          1,040,093  $2,490,253  $2,069,389  16.9%  Natural cheese, except  lowfat, shipped in packages  WPU023302122  108  86  20.0%  $1.92  $1,991,932  20.0%
                           Cheese, Fancy Shred Cheddar, 4/5 lb  $2.52   $2.12    15.8%          3,663,222  $9,230,960  $7,768,938  15.8%  Natural cheese, except  lowfat, shipped in packages  WPU023302122  108  86  20.0%  $2.02  $7,383,767  20.0%
                           Creamer, Portion, Aseptic, Half & Half  $1.38  $1.31  5.5%          5,208,632  $7,208,324  $6,813,432  5.5%  Other fluid milk related products, packaged, incl.  WPU02310304  231  222  4.1%  $1.33  $6,910,262  4.1%
                           Mozzarella Cheese Stick, Breaded   $1.92     $1.77    7.5%          2,271,907  $4,352,237  $4,025,987  7.5%  Other frozen specialties, excluding seafood  WPU02850113  184  184  -0.4%  $1.92  $4,370,022  -0.4%
                           Whipped Cream, Non Dairy Aerosol   $1.52     $1.39    8.3%          2,336,626  $3,542,327  $3,247,003  8.3%  Other fluid milk related products, packaged, incl.  WPU02310304  231  222  4.1%  $1.45  $3,395,852  4.1%
                           Overall Performance                                                   $40,327,103 $36,000,412  10.7%  Overall Performance                                                        $36,527,136  9.4%

                           Sources & Notes:
                           [1]: Products are based on Pancake Price Index.
                           [2]: Average actual store cost for 2014 is calculated by taking the average of prices from January 2014 through December 2014.
                           [3]: Average actual store cost for 2015 is calculated by taking the average of prices from January 2015 through December 2015.
                           [4]: Change in average actual store cost= -{[3] - [2]}/[2].
                           [5]: Budgeted volumes for 2015 are based on Pancake Price Index.
                           [6]: [2] x [5].
                           [7]: [3] x [5].
                           [8]: -{[7] - [6]}/[6]. Notice that [4] & [8] have the same results.
                           [9]: PPI sub-indices are selected based on resemblance with products in Pancake Market Basket.
                           [10]: See PPI Codes on the Bureau of Labor Statistics: http://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/ppi.pdf
                           [11]: Data were retrieved from the Bureau of Labor Statistic website: http://data.bls.gov/cgi-bin/srgate
                           [12]: Data were retrieved from the Bureau of Labor Statistic website: http://data.bls.gov/cgi-bin/srgate
                           [13]: Change in PPI sub-indices = -{[12] - [11]}/[11].
                           [14]: [2] x {1 - [13]}.
                           [15]: [5] x [14].
                           [16]: -{[15] - [6]}/[6]. Notice that [13] & [16] have the same results.
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