Page 350 - Onboarding May 2017
P. 350

Confidential and Privileged
                                                                                                                                       For the Audit and Finance Committee's Review
                                                                Work-paper #2:
                                                                Apple Market Basket vs. Modified Producer Price Index:
                                                                Commentary on 2016 Performance for Primary Category Drivers

                                                                Category        Contribution to performance  Commentary
                                                                                                    Primary driver of favorable variance is 41/50 Shrimp.  While PPI measure (Prepared Frozen
                                                                                                    Shellfish) shows a slight increase, a closer market indicator is the UB 41/50 Farm Raised Asian
                                                                Seafood                 64%
                                                                                                    White T/On Shrimp - which decreased by 12.8%, versus our pricing that decreased by 17%.  Newly
                                                                                                    approved supplier, as well as spot buying strategy helped us in a down market.
                                                                                                    Driven almost entirely by Fresh Ground Chuck, which decreased by nearly 20% YOY, versus PPI
                                                                Beef                    39%
                                                                                                    measure, which decreased by 3.7%.
                                                                                                    Outperformance relative to PPI was driven primarily by markets lags on Asiago and Parm cheeses,
                                                                Dairy                   12%
                                                                                                    improved supplier overages on Mozzarella Sticks, and optimizing of supplier ship-to's on cheeses.
                                                                                                    Broccoli and Lettuce markets were both strong in 2015 due to weather/crop issues.  CSCS prices
                                                                                                    were protected by caps and remained relatively steady.  2016's softer markets drove the PPI
                                                                Produce                -19%         down, while our prices remained relatively steady.  In the case of Tomatoes, strong markets in
                                                                                                    2016 were protected by CSCS driving a favorability for 2016.  This will likely reverse in 2017 if
                                                                                                    markets return to more normal levels.
                                                                                                    Forward positions on Bellies in 2016 were unfavorable to market for FY by 4%.  Primary variance
                                                                Pork                   -10%         to PPI is result of application of "bank" dollars to Bacon Bit pricing in 2015 that created pricing as
                                                                                                    low as $2.00/lb. (versus 2016 market-based price averaging $5.08/lb.).
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